3.31.20 CSGO Slate

Thankfully we are back to a 4 game slate today to diffuse ownership and drown out some of the chalk. Mouz is a big favorite over VP but the betting lines elsewhere all expect close matches. We have nobody over $8600 so there is still no challenge towards loading your rosters with prime talent. We have a few more obvious value plays and a few studs to pay up for so it should be a fun day for DFS. 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, I will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fair in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Game Length adjustmentAdjustment for 30 max rounds (A players score gets multiplied by 30 and divided by number of rounds played)

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. Good luck to everyone and we are always looking for feedback on how to improve the readability of our content! 

VP V mouz (12 PM EST) VP +293 / mouz -455

VP:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
SANJI$6800.84.52.78
buster$5800.98.651.09
Jame$56001.03.66.98
AdreN$5400.86.56.81
qikert$52001.1.711.15

Virtus.Pro comes in as big underdogs for good reason…they are terrible. Having not won a series since February 1st, they sport a 12% win rate in the last 3 months. 12…..Percent. Qikert has managed to be respectable for the team and he is priced laughably low. You may not need such drastic salary relief on this slate, but he should perform well. 

Top Plays: qikert

mouz:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
ropz$86001.18.81.05
woxic$80001.09.661.04
frozen$78001.19.751.15
chrisj$7200.98.61.98
karrigan$7000.95.61

Mouz should be able to win this series 2-0 and their players should see great adjustments like FAZE saw yesterday. Ropz is a near lock across the board and will occupy a lot of captain slots on our lineups. Frozen is an easy number 2 pick, being the consistent second option for the team. He should be priced closer to ropz, ahead of woxic. Chrisj and woxic are both going to see some exposure, but between the two chrisj is cheaper.

I see no reason to play karrigan here, but 2-3 of the other guys on a lineup can pay dividends in a 2-0 series. 

Top plays: ropz, frozen, chrisj/woxic

CPHF V C9 (1 PM EST) CPHF +129 / C9 -175

CPHF:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
TeSeS$78001.21.81.29
Farlig$62001.19.761.23
Nodios$56001.05.65.95
HooXi$5400.91.58.85
refrezh$5000.96.61.95

Cophenhagen is on a 3 game losing streak but are a great team to target for fantasy purposes because TeSeS and Farlig are usually the ones carrying the load. Finding teams where 1 or 2 guys carry the load consistently is great for locking in solid plays and these are your guys. TeSeS edges Farlig but both should be priced a bit higher. We can see refrezh as an interesting flyer at this price on a slate where value is needed, but that’s not today.   

Top plays: TeSeS, Farlig

C9:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
Sonic$86001.08.671.08
oSee$82001.12.731.1
floppy$80001.15.721.17
motm$78001.08.71.11
JT$7400.96.58.91

Cloud9 is led by oSee, who is somehow not their highest priced option. He is a good player and consistently performs without much risk. The antithesis to this is Sonic and floppy who are both capable of being the guy but can also disappoint in a big way. This should be a fun and close series to watch, but maybe not so great for fantasy if I had to guess. We will run a good amount of oSee while sprinkling in Sonic and floppy a little bit, but we won’t be targeting C9. 

Top plays: oSee, Sonic/floppy

nV V HAVU (4 PM EST) nV +106 / HAVU -143

nV:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
Calyx$84001.16.761.24
Nifty$8200.99.63.97
MICHU$76001.05.681.14
moose$68001.11.681.03
ryann$4800.92.59.87

Calyx is the blue chip here against HAVU and can be counted on to perform. The rest of this team has been tough to predict. Scores have been a bit all over the place and with some exaggerated pricing here we will likely just skip past these guys and look elsewhere. These contests have been favoring 2-0 sweeps and big playmaking and we don’t feel that nV will provide that today. 

Top plays: Calyx

HAVU:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
sLowi$82001.07.691.13
doto$76001.07.681.11
ZOREE$74001.19.771.2
hoody$64001.09.71.09
sAw$5800.91.55.78

Everyone on this team (besides sAw) has been playing great CS recently and trying to rank their likely outcomes is probably our most difficult decision of this slate. ZOREE is a favorite due to the safety of playing him, but he does not have the highest ceiling here if your goal is to crush a gpp. SLowi is our next pick up with likely the highest ceiling, but a price tag that reflects as much. Doto is then a best of both worlds type of guy who looks to be in a good spot to do well. We’ve included hoody as well because we will throw him into some gpp lineups as a flier given this matchup and his sporadic ability to put up solid numbers, think of a Joey Gallo or Chris Davis type if you play fantasy baseball.  

Top plays: ZOREE, sLowi/doto, hoody

MiBR V 100T (4 PM EST) MiBR +154 / 100T -213

MiBR:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
fer$74001.1.711.1
FalleN$70001.04.65.97
kNgV$70001.08.731.15
meyern$6000.98.6.91
TACO$5200.97.58.96

MiBR just had a pathetic loss to FURIA and have shown they are no longer the picanha of the brazilian steakhouse, but they are still the pan de queijo. Fer, FalleN, and kNgV all had great moments yesterday and even meyern looked like he deserved to be playing professional CS. Against 100T, kNgV will likely be my top pick as he has been very consistent except for a milk dud against Orgless. We still like fer and FalleN and both will have to show up here to stop the bleeding, with FalleN getting the slight edge for being discounted. This all being said, fer likely has the highest upside as he usually does the most damage but his lack of entry kills has held his fantasy points back a bit. 

Top plays: kNgV, FalleN, fer

100T:

PlayerSalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundImpact
jkaem$78001.08.691.18
Liazz$7600.97.56.84
Gratisfaction$7200.96.61.91
jks$68001.13.71.1
AZR$6600.99.64.9

Why is jks the second cheapest player on 100T? Can anybody answer this for us? He, jkaem, and Gratisfaction are some of our top plays today and Liazz must be some sort of pricing error or something. These three guys are all great options but jks’ price pushes him to the top for potential payoff relative to salary. 100T should have no trouble with the way MiBR have been playing and there will be points to go around for 100T.
Top plays: jks, Gratisfaction, jkaem

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