4.2.20 LOL Slate

Unlike CSGO, League of Legends has been around Draftkings for about four and a half years, leading to more balanced salaries and a fantasy point system stretching beyond KDA.  After all, the average LoL player with any experience and skill knows the struggle when their teammates yell at them to check the scoreboard, when in reality their horrible rotations and inability to farm creeps are what destroyed your chances of winning.  Yet in the context of fantasy, it turns out your iron teammates might have been right all along (spoiler alert: they weren’t). Fantasy is a different kind of animal where kills and assists will net you the most points over all else. LoL also includes bonus points for creep score, but it amounts to 1 point per 50cs, meaning KDA will ultimately make or break your roster.  The LoL lineup format is nearly the same as the new CSGO with one captain and five other players, although LoL requires each of the five players to fill a different role. The other major difference is the addition of Teams as picks, with points being added if your team wins, how long the victory takes, and the objectives they take along the way. The Draftkings LoL point system is shown below. 

Before we dive into tomorrow’s slate, it’s worth keeping in mind LPL games generally see more kills, making their individual players enticing picks.  Meanwhile, fewer kills in LCK games could lead to longer, more objective focused games, making them favorable when picking teams. Now onto tomorrow.       

*Remember* LCK does not release lineups early so be careful with unexpected subs or roster changes *Remember*

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x points
Kills+3 Pts
Assists+2 Pts
Deaths-1 Pt
Creep Score+0.02 Pts
10+ K/A Bonus+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)
Teams
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x point
Turrets+1 Pt
Dragons+2 Pts
Barons+3 Pts
First Blood+2 Pts
Win+2 Pts
Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus+2 Pts

AF V APK (2 AM EST) AF -370 / APK +260

StatsAFAPK
W/L15/156/18
Avg. Game Length35:3034:35
Dragons/Game2.6 (51.8%)2.3 (40.3%)
Barons/Game0.6 (41.7%).5 (41%)
Turrets/Game5.74
First Blood %63%46%

Out of the two teams, Afreeca stands out as the likely victor. Afreeca’s starters surpass APK across the board, making them decent picks versus a team they will likely beat, although the gap between Mystic and HyBrid is very close. Even though Afreeca has lost their last three series to top teams, APK doesn’t pose nearly the same threat as the likes of GenG or KT.

AFKP%KDACS/M
Kiin65.2%2.78.3
Spirit71.6%3.25.1
Fly66.5%2.77.3
Mystic66.8%39.7
Jelly68.6%3.11.1
APKKP%KDACS/M
Ikssu58.7%1.66.6
Flawless73.4%25.2
Cover61.9%28.9
HyBrid64.2%2.89.8
Secret53.6%1.61.1

Regardless of whether we see Cover or Keine for APK tomorrow, Fly is more than likely to outperform his midlane opponents. In APK’s past showings, they played strongest with Ikssu and HyBriD at their best. That, combined with their lower salary, makes those two potentially strong picks for your lineup were APK to take another series.  If Afreeca performs as expected, however, their damage dealers are safe, higher salary picks who can be well worth the cost.  

Afreeca Top Picks: Fly, Mystic APK Top Picks: Ikssu, HyBriD           

LGD V WE (2 AM EST) LGD +177 / WE -238

StatsLGDWE
W/L8/1411/10
Avg. Game Length32:5031:11
Dragons/Game2.2 (45.2%)2.7 (56.7%)
Barons/Game.59 (37.1%).76 (55%)
Turrets/Game5.56
First Blood %N/AN/A

Our first LPL match features a matchup similar to our first LCK game. With only 2 series wins so far, LGD have struggled to boost their position on the scoreboard.  WE’s mid starter doubles the KDA of LGD’s lineup and has put up huge scores recently. LGD’s last game saw subs in the top and support lanes, meaning they could very well come back with their starting roster for WE, but even with their main players they don’t look as impressive as WE.     

LGDKP%KDACS/M
Cult51.6%1.787.52
Peanut75.4%3.95.5
Yuuki62.3%2.68.1
Kramer69%3.28.8
Killua83.5%5.051.98
WEKP%KDACS/M
Morgan59.1%37.5
beishang72.3%4.15.6
Teacherma74.1%5.77.1
Jiumeng75.5%4.18.4
Missing74.2%3.91.5

LGD’s greatest strength lies in Peanut, but he alone can’t make LGD a viable pick.  Without a stronger team, one player won’t make much of a difference in a match in terms of kills, and WE’s roster is just… better.  Chance is being replaced at Support by Killua, who has looked much better recently and would be a great part of an LGD team stack. If LGD does happen to pull off the upset, it can pay big dividends in fantasy. Be wary of sub potential though if they don’t start out well, especially with their Top and Support.   

LGD Top Picks: Peanut, Killua WE Top Picks: Morgan, Teacherma, Jiumeng

DWG V HLE (4 AM EST) DWG -222 / HLE +166

StatsDWGHLE
W/L13/1610/17
Avg. Game Length33:4233:18
Dragons/Game2.4 (47.9%)2 (37.5%)
Barons/Game.66 (44.1%).48 (42%)
Turrets/Game6.34.5
First Blood %52%48%

This LCK matchup should prove to be more balanced.  Player statistics are closer to each other than the previous matchups, and both teams have lost the majority of their recent matchups.  HLE’s defeat of DragonX a week ago could be a good sign, but it is no guarantee of their success as DWG have stronger players in certain matchups like mid.  With this matchup, it might be ideal to follow DWG’s higher objective count, although including a team in your roster when the matchup is close might not make a great investment.      

DWGKP%KDACS/M
Nuguri61.5%2.18.7
Canyon72.1%2.95.4
ShowMaker69.3%4.38.7
Nuclear64.6%3.69.2
BeryL69%2.81.7
HLEKP%KDACS/M
CuVee57.1%1.97.7
Haru71.5%2.45.9
Tempt64.1%2.68.6
Vsta70%3.18.9
Lehends73.5%2.51.3

Nuguri serves as a decent top pick depending on the strategy DWG implements. His rather diverse champion pool allows him to play in a variety of spots and expands the current stale top lane meta.  His success will depend on the team’s overall performance, which could very well serve him in this slate. ShowMaker is definitely a strong pick against Tempt, and if you want a cheaper support, both BeryL and Lehends are optimal, with a slight advantage to BeryL with DWG as favorites. For ADCs, you’re better off looking for a more expensive option in another series.  Nuclear is a bit pricey, and while it’s possible he may pop off, it is a bit of a riskier pick. Also, be wary of playing Tempt and Vsta as there is a decent chance they are replaced if they lose a game.  

Damwon Top Picks: Nuguri, ShowMaker, BeryL Hanwha Life Top Picks: Haru, Lehends 

RW V BLG (4 AM EST) RW +225 / BLG -312

StatsRWBLG
W/L8/1310/15
Avg. Game Length32:1734:11
Dragons/Game2 (38.5%)2.1 (42.1%)
Barons/Game.67 (48.3%).52 (40.2%)
Turrets/Game4.65.5
First Blood %N/AN/A

With a recent victory against Team WE, BLG may have an advantage in this series.  These teams are next to each other in the standings, but BLG are coming off a reverse sweep against Team WE and are looking to ride that momentum into this matchup. RW is playing with two substitutes and I’m not sure they will be enough to overcome this BLG lineup.

RWKP%KDACS/M
Holder60.0%1.436.29
Haro72.2%2.115.25
Ruby65.8%2.47.1
ZWuJi75.6%3.79
Ley73.2%2.11
BLGKP%KDACS/M
ADD73.9%5.676.89
Meteor71.7%2.95.5
FoFo75%48
jinjiao67%3.58.8
XinMo69.1%2.61.2

ADD earned the start after his stellar performance in BLG’s series vs WE, but while he was solid against a strong team, that doesn’t necessarily make him a surefire pick here.  Even with a sub, BLG’s players are overall stronger, and RW’s are using subs at Top and Jungle as well. It’s definitely not one sided, but the BLG roster would be a safer pick in this series.  Ley has a decent KDA, but if the team doesn’t perform then it’s likely he will be a drag on your lineup.    

Rogue Warriors Top Picks: ZWuJi, Ley Bilibili Top Picks: FoFo, ADD    

KT V DRX (5:30 AM EST) KT +131 / DRX -172

StatsKTDRX
W/L14/1419/11
Avg. Game Length31:5633:33
Dragons/Game2.6 (54.4%)2.8 (60.1%)
Barons/Game.54 (46.2%).77 (64.8%)
Turrets/Game6.36.9
First Blood %54%23%

This should make for an exciting matchup.  While normally a strong favorite given their third place position, DRX doesn’t necessarily have a clear path to victory against KT.  KT has been on a winning streak for 6 series in a row, having last faced DRX in early February. If KT’s bot lane is left unchecked, they could very well pull through for their 7th series in a row.      

KTKP%KDACS/M
SoHwan45.4%2.58
bono75.8%4.75.3
kurO69.4%58.1
Aiming78%5.89.9
TusiN68.6%31.5
DRXKP%KDACS/M
Doran56.1%2.98.1
Pyosik75.6%5.25.7
Chovy68.4%5.29.1
Deft71.5%4.69.9
Keria75%4.31.2

KurO versus Chovy should be an exciting matchup, especially if Rumble gets through for either team.  Both players have large KDAs on that champion while remaining very solid on the rest of their lineup.  Were you to invest in either mid laner, it would be a nice bonus to your points if either guy played Rumble. The greatest potential lies in KT Aiming.  If KT can successfully build around Aiming, his carry potential is extremely high, which could be well worth the $6200. If you’re looking for a decent top, Doran is cheap enough to justify a pick.  This way you can save your money for the roles that are more likely to get kills in this meta.

KT Top Picks: kurO, Aiming DragonX Top Picks: Doran, Pyosik, Chovy

SN V TES (5:30 AM EST) SN +238 / TES -333

StatsSNTES
W/L11/1412/8
Avg. Game Length32:1632.01
Dragons/Game2.2 (47.4%)2.3 (47.6%)
Barons/Game.6 (53.8%).75 (71.1%)
Turrets/Game5.86.7
First Blood %N/AN/A

This may not be the most one sided matchup for this slate, but it is hard to imagine Suning pulling through.  Having lost to both JD Gaming and WE over the last week, it would be surprising if they could take down fourth place TES.  If SN does pull out a victory, it would likely be through the efforts of their mid and jungle.

SNKP%KDACS/M
Biubiu58.8%3.16.5
SofM73.3%3.95.5
Angel70.9%4.17.7
huanfeng72.2%4.29.9
SwordArt68.3%2.91
TESKP%KDACS/M
36961.1%3.18.1
Karsa72.2%3.55.2
Knight78%4.88.4
Photic73.4%4.38.4
Qiuqiu72.9%5.41.2

SofM, Angel and huanfeng are all decent picks, with SofM working well at a $6000 salary. That seemed low to me at first, yet his two best champions this split are Jarvan and Sejuani.  If TES targets SofM during the banning phase, his impact throughout the game could drop significantly. Those aren’t his only two good champions to be sure, but he has played those two for over half his games.  Karsa has had a more consistent champion pool in the jungle and Knight has played a number of different champions this split, making them the more likely choices. What really stands out is Qiuqiu’s 5.4 KDA, the highest in the slate among Supports.  He seems to have earned his spot in the starting lineup, and should continue to do so tomorrow.

Suning Top Picks: SofM, Angel, huanfeng Top Esports: Qiuqiu, Karsa, Knight

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