4.3.20 LOL Slate

Yesterday’s games definitely included some surprises, the main two being APK and LGD. Afreeca was disappointing, letting APK’s top and adc run the show once more this split. The biggest disappointment was WE, particularly in their decision making. Game 1 showed some excellent rotations on WE’s part, keeping LGD from running them over, but they ultimately let Aphelios get out of control. They managed to keep Kramer under control in Game 2 fairly easily, but once he was given Kalista in Game 3, WE seemed to fall apart. These two were definitely very surprising, and LGD also proved just how deadly Kramer can be under the right conditions. 

DWG was the right choice yesterday while RW managed to pull through with a fairly easy two victories.  What was slightly disappointing, although not entirely unforeseen, was KT vs DRX. Had KT delivered, they would have been phenomenal picks with Aiming at the center, yet it seems they didn’t have it in them. TES delivered as expected in their one sided series, leading to an abundance of fantasy points.

TES is an important game to consider when going into today’s slate. While it’s true underdogs can make a comeback such as APK and LGD, teams like GenG, T1 and iG are going up against some of the weaker teams in their respective tournaments. This makes for an upset far more unlikely, leaving very safe picks for this slate depending on who will show up and who will play more of a supporting role. Stacking the teams that stomp their opponents is a way to go for taking down a GPP and it looks like we have a few matches like that on this slate. 

Before we dive into tomorrow’s slate, it’s worth keeping in mind LPL games generally see more kills, making their individual players enticing picks.  Meanwhile, fewer kills in LCK games could lead to longer, more objective focused games, making them favorable when picking teams. Now onto tomorrow.       

*Remember* LCK does not release lineups early so be careful with unexpected subs or roster changes *Remember*

Players

StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+3 Pts
Assists+2 Pts
Deaths-1 Pt
Creep Score+0.02 Pts
10+ K/A Bonus+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)

Teams

StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Turrets+1 Pt
Dragons+2 Pts
Barons+3 Pts
First Blood+2 Pts
Win+2 Pts
Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus+2 Pts

EDG(-435) V DMO(+297)  (2 AM EST)

StatsEDGDMO
W/L13/117/14
Avg. Game Length34:2931:53
Dragons/Game2.6 2.33
Barons/Game.75 .52
Turrets/Game6.25.6
First Blood %N/AN/A

While this series looks great for EDG, yesterday’s games served as a reminder anything can happen. Still, EDG has had some great games recently with Hope as the superstar.  They lost to Royal on Sunday after Royal’s bot lane ran Senna/Nautilus two games in a row, completely changing the team composition and throwing off EDG, but even then Hope was able to pull out a score of 8/1/9 on a game they lost.  DMO has won 2 of their last 3 series somehow, but it’s too little too late for them in the playoff picture. Still, maybe they finally figured something out and want to finish their season strong. DMO certainly isn’t favored here, but you can’t completely overlook them with their recent play.

EDGKP%KDACS/M
Aodi56.6%4.97.3
JunJia71.6%2.94.6
Scout61.1%4.88.6
Hope72.1%7.89.4
Meiko61%3.11
DMOKP%KDACS/M
Natural53.6%2.68.5
Xiaopeng68.3%2.65.1
xiye72.4%3.47.8
GALA61%3.69.4
Mark61.7%2.81

Hope stands out as EDG’s brightest pick at $8200, with Scout and Aodi as great backups.  This particular series may not be as one sided as some games coming after, but Hope’s consistency even when losing makes for a solid choice.  However, while Hope might be safe through his low death count, the kills on EDG have been spread out amongst the different roles throughout their series these past few weeks.  As far as Dominus is concerned, xiye managed to go 14/6/6 in their 0/2 series versus eStar, one of the strongest teams in the LPL. If you have faith in Dominus, xiye might be a worthwhile choice, and although he isn’t as flashy as other people, Mark’s cheap salary at Support can help you fit some of the top guys in your lineups.

EDG Top Picks: Aodi, Hope DMO Top Picks: xiye, Mark        

GEN(-1429) V SB(+667)  (2 AM EST)

StatsGENSB
W/L23/512/15
Avg. Game Length32:4934:46
Dragons/Game2.932.22
Barons/Game0.930.59
Turrets/Game8.15.7
First Blood %82.10%33.30%

Sandbox may not be the worst team in the LCK, but when facing off against GenG it’s hard to imagine them winning this series. GenG’s overall stats are overwhelming in comparison to SB and for good reason.  SB’s latest victories include Griffin, arguably the worst team in the LCK, and Afreeca Freecs, who have been looking questionable lately. Meanwhile, GenG haven’t dropped a series against anyone except T1, who they lost to twice.  If this matchup goes anything like the last time these teams met on the rift, there’s potential for a one sided slaughter of SB, making GenG an excellent choice for your team.      

GENKP%KDACS/M
Rascal57.8%5.48.2
Clid74.6%6.65.6
Bdd74.5%98.4
Ruler63.6%8.510.6
Life68%7.1.9
SBKP%KDACS/M
Summit67.3%2.47.9
OnFleek69.3%2.95.7
Dove63.5%4.38.5
Route68.6%3.59.9
GorillA69.8%3.5.9

GenG has a plethora of good picks, particularly since the game is very safe, making for a potentially great team to stack.  If you’re looking for one or two who stand out, Bdd and Ruler are two obvious choices. Bdd especially has incredible stats on a few select characters like Zoe and Azir.  Still, as we mentioned above, it’s important to keep in mind the higher kill counts in LPL games. Even with Bdd’s excellent stats, he may not net you as many points depending on how much of a fight SB can put up, or if GenG decides to use this game to practice different strategies. If you need a top below $7000, Rascal might not be a bad option. Players on SB like OnFleek and Route have done pretty well in their recent matches, but it’s definitely risky to put anyone on SB on your roster when victory is this uncertain.             

GEN Top Picks: Rascal, Clid, Bbd  SB Top Picks: OnFleek, Route

iG(-10000) V V5(+1219) (4 AM EST)

StatsiGV5
W/L16/51/20
Avg. Game Length30:4630:21
Dragons/Game1.81.3
Barons/Game.570
Turrets/Game7.12.9
First Blood %N/AN/A

Many of the games on this slate look incredibly one sided at first glance.  When examining iG against V5, it would be shocking for V5 to pull out a victory here unless iG went completely off the rails and tried something ridiculous.  In a Best of 1, an upset could very well happen, but with V5 needing to win 2 games, this looks like another easy team pick.    

iGKP%KDACS/M
TheShy57.4%2.27.7
Leyan57.4%3.56.1
Rookie66.5%2.97.4
Puff58.8%%4.29.7
Southwind68.3%4.81.2
V5KP%KDACS/M
Aliez40.4%1.27.3
xiaohan70.2%1.14.9
clx57.7%1.37.8
Y461%1.68.4
Max51.4%.61.1

Rookie is definitely an interesting option here.  He isn’t exactly the superstar in terms of kills every game, but he is undoubtedly a solid player.  He also had incredible games on Leblanc and Ekko, making champ select the biggest determiner for this pick.  If he decides to pull out a damage dealing mid laner against V5, he could be an easy Captain slot. If not, Southwind would be a decent support given the number of assists he racks up in these high kill games. TheShy is an expensive pick for iG, but his KDA hasn’t been worth the cost, so you’re better off with a cheaper top laner. As for V5, well… just keep on scrolling and don’t look back.   

iG Top Picks: Ning, RooKie, Puff, Southwind  V5 Top Picks: Why are you still here? Keep Going  

GRF(+788) V T1(-2000)  (4 AM EST)

StatsGRFT1
W/L8/2220/7
Avg. Game Length34:1535:31
Dragons/Game1.832.89
Barons/Game0.20.81
Turrets/Game3.47.5
First Blood %53.30%44.40%

Here we have another seemingly obvious matchup. Griffin isn’t as hopeless as V5 appears to be, but they have a long way to go before they can stand up to T1. Other than an interesting loss against Afreeca Freecs, T1 have managed to take down every opponent since mid February, including  GenG. Griffin seems to be the exact opposite, having lost every series in the same timeframe. This series, alongside iG v V5 and GenG v SB, should be a safe bet.     

GRFKP%KDACS/M
Sword53.5%1.67.3
Tarzan74%2.85
Ucal68.5%2.78.2
Viper67.6%3.710.1
Irove70.4%2.11
T1KP%KDACS/M
Canna65.5%7.37.4
Cuzz77.5%6.85.6
Faker68.5%5.78.8
Teddy76.9%7.711
Effort72.7%3.41.1

Even if you aren’t big into LoL you’ve probably heard of Faker, the Unkillable Demon King.  He’s been going strong since Season 3 having won worlds three times, with only one other player being able to boast that stat. His Leblanc is solid as usual, but despite his fearsome and longstanding reputation, he might not be the best pick for the purposes of fantasy points. Part of this comes from the change in meta the mid lane has seen, as Faker would probably not be caught dead playing a tank like Ornn back when he first started out. If you want to go in on T1, Cuzz and Teddy are decent alternatives. Faker’s performance against Griffin is sure to be a good one, but there are likely better choices for mid lane in different matchups. If Griffin does manage to surprise, as unlikely as it may seem, Tarzan and Viper would be the reason why.       

GRF Top Picks: Cuzz, Teddy  T1 Top Picks: Tarzan, Viper    

RNG(-105) V ES(-123)  (5:30 AM EST)

StatsRNGES
W/L13/819/8
Avg. Game Length34:2835:25
Dragons/Game3.13.3
Barons/Game.431.26
Turrets/Game6.37.9
First Blood %N/AN/A

As strong as ES has proven to be, RNG isn’t exactly a team to be steamrolled. Draftkings definitely favors ES, and they do look to be the stronger team with potential for Cryin and Wink to dominate, but it’s important to keep in mind this is not necessarily a clear victory as some of the other series on this slate. ES did lose recently against Vici Gaming, although they did run Sett support for two games, making me wonder what they were trying out. Ultimately ES are favored to take this series, but they also have the most expensive carries in the entire slate.         

RNGKP%KDACS/M
Langx69%5.18.5
XLB65.6%3.74.8
xiaohu60.5%3.68.5
Betty65.5%6.89.8
Ming62.1%3.61.2
ESKP%KDACS/M
Xiaobai54.9%3.97
Wei79.7%5.54.6
Cryin71.5%6.98.1
Wink73.4%6.810
ShiauC70.9%4.21.1

If you decide to bet on RNG doing well, Langx has had a fantastic showing in the games he has won recently. At $6000, he could very well be a miracle pick.  Of course, if ES outperform as many think they will do, he could flop and drag your lineup down with him, especially with Xiaobai being the absolute monster he is. While this series might not be as close as the others in the slate, it is definitely a risk to bet all on RNG. Still, despite their stats and good performances as of late, the picks on ES don’t seem to be a guarantee unless you believe RNG has no chance. I’ll add the top picks regardless in case you feel differently about this series, since ES could potentially dominate your scoreboard, but there are enough safer matchups this slate to justify avoiding this series for most of your fantasy slots. 

RNG Top Picks: Langx, Betty, Ming ES Top Picks: Xiaobai, Cryin, ShiauC

AF(-106) V DWG(-122)  (5:30 AM EST)

StatsAFDWG
W/L15/1519/11
Avg. Game Length35:3033:33
Dragons/Game2.62.77
Barons/Game0.60.77
Turrets/Game5.76.9
First Blood %63.30%23.30%

After yesterday’s performance, I’m sorely tempted to never vouch for Afreeca Freecs again. Their drafting choices against APK were subpar Game 1, and their focus in fights just seemed… bad. AF haven’t had the best luck lately, even against teams like APK. Despite this, it is certainly possible for AF to turn their luck around, but as with ES, it may not be the most worthwhile investment. DWG managed to pull through yesterday, so we’ll see if they can keep that momentum going.  

AFKP%KDACS/M
Kiin65.2%2.78.3
Spirit71.6%3.25.1
Fly66.5%2.77.3
Mystic66.8%39.9
Jelly68.6%3.1.9
DWGKP%KDACS/M
Nuguri 61.5%2.18.7
Canyon72.1%2.95.4
ShowMaker69.3%4.38.7
Nuclear64.6%3.69.5
BeryL69%2.81.2

If AF do turn things around, it’ll likely be on the back of Mystic. If you like AF, this makes their bot lane decent for their picks, as they will definitely perform if AF is on point. As this game can be a nail biter, DWG might take over through the efforts of ShowMaker and Nuclear. This particular matchup is more difficult to determine, making for a riskier lineup. 

AF Top Picks: Mystic, Jelly DWG Top Picks: ShowMaker, Nuclear

Thank you for reading! Please check out our podcast, yesterdays LOL slate info, and todays CSGO slate info for even more great content.

Podcast: https://www.launchpaddm.com/pd/Game-On-DFS

4.2.20 LOL: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/02/4-2-20-lol-slate/

4.3.20 CSGO: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/02/4-3-20-csgo-slate/

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