eNascar Pro Invitational 4/19

We have another virtual NASCAR event this weekend, with a smaller group of only 26 drivers. A bunch of drivers either were not invited, decided to let the youngsters play, or just said stupid things on stream and threw his career away. We have a smaller pool of guys this time and we have seen enough races at this point to begin drawing conclusions as to who knows what they’re doing and who should stay in bed. This slate is also made easier by the fact that Draftkings and Fanduel made some peculiar pricing decisions that will likely be abused. Have fun, don’t take this too seriously, and game on.

First of all, below you can see the Draftkings scoring system that is heavily weighted on predicting top finishers, with no captain’s slot or any distinction between picks. The name of this game will be finding lower priced participants that finish well to help afford the more premium guys that are safer bets to show up around the top of the leaderboard. With a solid amount of points being given as a result of place differential, it’s important to pay attention to where racers will be starting in order to find good opportunities. This will be set right before lock so if you play this seriously, you have to be paying attention (or just play on Fanduel haha). 

Draftkings Scoring

General
Place Differential+/- 1 Pt
Fastest Laps+0.5 Pts
Laps Led+0.25 Pts
Finishing Position Scoring
1st+46 Pts
2nd+42 Pts
3rd+41 Pts
4th+40 Pts
5th+39 Pts
6th+38 Pts
7th+37 Pts
8th+36 Pts
9th+35 Pts
10th+34 Pts
11th+33 Pts
12th+32 Pts
13th+31 Pts
14th+30 Pts
15th+29 Pts
16th+28 Pts
17th+27 Pts
18th+26 Pts
19th+25 Pts
20th+24 Pts
21st+23 Pts
22nd+22 Pts
23rd+21 Pts
24th+20 Pts
25th+19 Pts
26th+18 Pts

The largest difference for Fanduel is the lack of scoring for place differential, with points for completing laps instead. This negates the lack of knowledge of where the racers will be starting until just before the contest and helps reward drivers who finish the race over those who give up or say things you probably shouldn’t on stream. 

Fanduel Scoring

Fastest Laps0.4
Laps Completed0.1
Laps Led0.25
1st place43
2nd place40
3rd place38
4th place37
5th place36
6th place35
7th place34
8th place33
9th place32
10th place31
11th place30
12th place29
13th place28
14th place27
15th place26
16th place25
17th place24
18th place23
19th place22
20th place21
21st place20
22nd place19
23rd place18
24th place17
25th place16
26th place15

First we have some first thoughts on the slate as a whole. Lineup construction seems to be focused on locking in the top performers and then finding value plays that will severely outperform their salary expectations. This race will likely see a bunch of crashes which can make anything happen, luckily cars can be repaired in iRacing and a crash doesn’t completely bury your driver. Another thing to consider is that the field varies in terms of their experience levels with virtual racing as well as the quality of their rig and internet connection. This is all a drawn out way of saying **** happens and this could result in a topsy turvy day of random drivers finding success and the top drivers calling out their internet providers on Twitter. 

Below we have current betting odds for each driver. These odds are as of 11:00 PM EST on 4/17 and we will look for some value plays relative to their FD & DK pricing. Both sites had some glaring pricing mishaps relative to current betting odds and we’ll take a look at all of them. 

NameDraftkings SalaryFanduel SalaryBetting Odds
William Byron11000125009-5
Timmy Hill10600120005-1
Ryan Preece102001110014-1
John Nemechek9600900012-1
Denny Hamlin9300110007-1
Garrett Smithley91001150012-1
Parker Kligerman8900840010-1
Alex Bowman8700950012-1
Kyle Busch8500600014-1
Matt DiBenedetto8300930040-1
Clint Bowyer8100910050-1
Christopher Bell7900350014-1
Joey Logano7700640050-1
Tyler Reddick7500550075-1
Kevin Harvick7300400050-1
Bubba Wallace7000400050-1
Erik Jones6900500075-1
Chase Elliott6700500050-1
Kurt Busch6500620060-1
Ross Chastain6300700030-1
Jimmie Johnson6100630075-1
Brad Keselowski6000350050-1
Ty Dillon5800660075-1
Austin Dillon56005000
Chris Buescher5500720085-1
Ryan Blaney53004000100-1

William Byron, Timmy Hill, Garrett Smithley and Denny Hamlin are the top projected finishers here and are priced accordingly on each site, with Hamlin receiving a nice discount. Our goal will be to try to fit two of these guys on as many lineups as possible and find the value to make that possible. Ryan Preece is priced with these guys but really should be a tier lower. Although he has a chance at finishing at the top, he’ll be lower owned than the other 4 big boys.

A step down from the big 4 gets us into a target zone of a few guys who are poised to succeed without breaking the bank. Parker Kligerman, Alex Bowman, Matt DiBenedetto, and Kyle Busch come in under $10k and have a nice combination of recent iRacing success, vegas odds, and top tier finishing potential. DiBenedetto’s odds don’t show how well he’s been finishing so far and he could be a top 10 guy for your lineup at a lower ownership than the drivers around him in that salary range. A guy or 2 from this group can be the middle ground between your high fliers and value plays that make it work. 

Value is kind of stupid here. Fanduel has Christopher Bell priced at $3500 which must have been some type of joke. He has 14-1 odds and is a more proper $7900 on Draftkings. We don’t know what happened there but his ownership will be through the roof and it’s your call to choke on the chalk or try to avoid playing him. That will be a difficult choice if you want to stack the favorites here. On Draftkings, Ross Chastain is the top standout at $6300, a discount off his potential and even his Fanduel pricing. 

Play around with these groups to see what you can put together or play some of the guys you just like and enjoy your sunday afternoon. Anybody can win and anybody can get tilted and rage-quit. Have a safe and fun weekend and game on. 

Thank you for reading! Please check out our podcast, today’s CSGO slate info and todays LOL slate info, and our Horse Racing slate for even more great content. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS1

Podcast: https://www.launchpaddm.com/pd/Game-On-DFS

4.18.20 CSGO: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/17/4-18-20-csgo-slate/

4.18.20 LOL LPL/LCK: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/17/4-18-20-lol-lpl-lck-slate/

4.18.20 LOL LEC/LCS: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/17/4-18-20-lol-lec-lcs-slate/

Horse Racing 4.18.20: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/17/count-fleet-apple-blossom/

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