We have another virtual NASCAR event this weekend, with a smaller group of only 26 drivers. A bunch of drivers either were not invited, decided to let the youngsters play, or just said stupid things on stream and threw his career away. We have a smaller pool of guys this time and we have seen enough races at this point to begin drawing conclusions as to who knows what they’re doing and who should stay in bed. This slate is also made easier by the fact that Draftkings and Fanduel made some peculiar pricing decisions that will likely be abused. Have fun, don’t take this too seriously, and game on.
First of all, below you can see the Draftkings scoring system that is heavily weighted on predicting top finishers, with no captain’s slot or any distinction between picks. The name of this game will be finding lower priced participants that finish well to help afford the more premium guys that are safer bets to show up around the top of the leaderboard. With a solid amount of points being given as a result of place differential, it’s important to pay attention to where racers will be starting in order to find good opportunities. This will be set right before lock so if you play this seriously, you have to be paying attention (or just play on Fanduel haha).
|Place Differential||+/- 1 Pt|
|Fastest Laps||+0.5 Pts|
|Laps Led||+0.25 Pts|
|Finishing Position Scoring|
The largest difference for Fanduel is the lack of scoring for place differential, with points for completing laps instead. This negates the lack of knowledge of where the racers will be starting until just before the contest and helps reward drivers who finish the race over those who give up or say things you probably shouldn’t on stream.
First we have some first thoughts on the slate as a whole. Lineup construction seems to be focused on locking in the top performers and then finding value plays that will severely outperform their salary expectations. This race will likely see a bunch of crashes which can make anything happen, luckily cars can be repaired in iRacing and a crash doesn’t completely bury your driver. Another thing to consider is that the field varies in terms of their experience levels with virtual racing as well as the quality of their rig and internet connection. This is all a drawn out way of saying **** happens and this could result in a topsy turvy day of random drivers finding success and the top drivers calling out their internet providers on Twitter.
Below we have current betting odds for each driver. These odds are as of 11:00 PM EST on 4/17 and we will look for some value plays relative to their FD & DK pricing. Both sites had some glaring pricing mishaps relative to current betting odds and we’ll take a look at all of them.
|Name||Draftkings Salary||Fanduel Salary||Betting Odds|
William Byron, Timmy Hill, Garrett Smithley and Denny Hamlin are the top projected finishers here and are priced accordingly on each site, with Hamlin receiving a nice discount. Our goal will be to try to fit two of these guys on as many lineups as possible and find the value to make that possible. Ryan Preece is priced with these guys but really should be a tier lower. Although he has a chance at finishing at the top, he’ll be lower owned than the other 4 big boys.
A step down from the big 4 gets us into a target zone of a few guys who are poised to succeed without breaking the bank. Parker Kligerman, Alex Bowman, Matt DiBenedetto, and Kyle Busch come in under $10k and have a nice combination of recent iRacing success, vegas odds, and top tier finishing potential. DiBenedetto’s odds don’t show how well he’s been finishing so far and he could be a top 10 guy for your lineup at a lower ownership than the drivers around him in that salary range. A guy or 2 from this group can be the middle ground between your high fliers and value plays that make it work.
Value is kind of stupid here. Fanduel has Christopher Bell priced at $3500 which must have been some type of joke. He has 14-1 odds and is a more proper $7900 on Draftkings. We don’t know what happened there but his ownership will be through the roof and it’s your call to choke on the chalk or try to avoid playing him. That will be a difficult choice if you want to stack the favorites here. On Draftkings, Ross Chastain is the top standout at $6300, a discount off his potential and even his Fanduel pricing.
Play around with these groups to see what you can put together or play some of the guys you just like and enjoy your sunday afternoon. Anybody can win and anybody can get tilted and rage-quit. Have a safe and fun weekend and game on.
Thank you for reading! Please check out our podcast, today’s CSGO slate info and todays LOL slate info, and our Horse Racing slate for even more great content. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS1
4.18.20 LOL LPL/LCK: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/17/4-18-20-lol-lpl-lck-slate/
4.18.20 LOL LEC/LCS: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/17/4-18-20-lol-lec-lcs-slate/
Horse Racing 4.18.20: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/17/count-fleet-apple-blossom/