We have another iRacing event, now at Talladega and featuring the return and iRacing debut of Jeff Gordon. We have a familiar group of favorites at the top and the name of the game here is frankly getting lucky and trying to craft lineups with the available salary to best put you in a chance to succeed. This is mostly unpredictable so try to get in a few of the favorites who dominate the iRacing and then try to not screw up the rest because it’s anybody’s guess. Have a great weekend, good luck, and game on.
First of all, below you can see the Draftkings scoring system that is heavily weighted on predicting top finishers, with no captain’s slot or any distinction between picks. The name of this game will be finding lower priced participants that finish well to help afford the more premium guys that are safer bets to show up around the top of the leaderboard. With a solid amount of points being given as a result of place differential, it’s important to pay attention to where racers will be starting in order to find good opportunities. This will be set right before lock so if you play this seriously, you have to be paying attention (or just play on Fanduel haha).
|Place Differential||+/- 1 Pt|
|Fastest Laps||+0.5 Pts|
|Laps Led||+0.25 Pts|
|Finishing Position Scoring|
The largest difference for Fanduel is the lack of scoring for place differential, with points for completing laps instead. This negates the lack of knowledge of where the racers will be starting until just before the contest and helps reward drivers who finish the race over those who give up or say things you probably shouldn’t on stream.
First we have some first thoughts on the slate as a whole. Lineup construction seems to be focused on locking in the top performers and then finding value plays that will severely outperform their salary expectations. This race will likely see a bunch of crashes which can make anything happen, luckily cars can be repaired in iRacing and a crash doesn’t completely bury your driver. Another thing to consider is that the field varies in terms of their experience levels with virtual racing as well as the quality of their rig and internet connection. This is all a drawn out way of saying **** happens and this could result in a topsy turvy day of random drivers finding success and the top drivers calling out their internet providers on Twitter.
Below we have current betting odds for each driver. These odds are as of 10:00 PM EST on 4/24 and we will look for some value plays relative to their FD & DK pricing.
|Name||Draftkings Salary||Fanduel Salary||Betonline Odds||William Hill Odds|
|Dale Earnhardt Jr||9800||11500||+800||17-2|
|John H. Nemechek||8800||9500||+1200||18-1|
|Ricky Stenhouse Jr||6000||3500||+4000||60-1|
Top tier: William Byron, Denny Hamlin, and Timmy Hill are the 3 guys always mentioned during these events and for good reason. It’s safe money to say one of these guys will win and they all could place top 5, but Byron is universally expected to perform and his recent showings give nothing to refute that. Dale Earnhardt Jr. is an interesting choice here and betonline is high on him but he has struggled at Talladega recently and Bristol showed a rough performance so be cautious when spending nearly $10k on somebody.
Mid tier: Kyle Busch, Alex Bowman, and Ryan Preece are three safer picks who have shown consistent performance on the iRacing platform and are guys we can feel comfortable will perform near the top of the pack. These are guys that can come in the 5-15 range to help lineups cash with the upside to do better than that. Busch came in 5th in his last race and top 18 in the last 3 for $9400. Alex Bowman has 3 top 15 finishes (2 top 10) during these online events and has prior success at Talladega as well. Ryan Preece is a bit pricier at $9600 but he has been stellar during these online races and has 36.5 fantasy points or more in 3 of 4 appearances.
High risk / high return: Brad Kezlowski is underpriced for the high upside he possesses and he seems to be getting the hang of iRacing after placing 10th on the 19th. At $6300, he’s an interesting flyer. Matt DiBenedetto is a guy that William Hill’s odds are liking and he has finished in the top 15 3 out of 4 races for only $8500. He is nearly on the same level as the mid tier guys but can be had for a discount if you are in need of salary relief.
Play around with these guys to see what you can put together or play some of the drivers you just like and enjoy your Sunday afternoon. Anybody can win and anybody can get tilted and rage-quit. Have a safe and fun weekend and game on.
Thank you for reading! Please check out today’s podcast, CSGO, COD, Horse Racing, and LOL LPL/LCK articles. For even more great content. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS
4.25.20 LOL LPL/LCK: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/24/4-25-20-lol-lpl-lck/