4.26.20 CSGO ESL

More ESL action, more broken slates, we all know the deal by now. Hopefully you all stacked Astralis and fnatic in the early slate yesterday since all of Finland apparently lost internet so that match was postponed until today. You can expect and plan for rainouts in baseball and things like that happening but this is an irritating thing that happens in esports, just like server problems throwing a match. We see Heretics and Isurus set again for today but be afraid of Finninsh internet apparently and have some fun with a bunch of good teams playing today on both sites. There are a few decent favorites mixed in with some toss-ups so play accordingly. Stay safe, good luck, and game on.  

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

Fanduel Scoring

MVP – 1.5X Points (1)Player (4)Team (1)
Kills 3Kills 2Bombs Planted 1
Deaths -1.5Deaths -1Bombs Defused 2
Assists 1.5Assists 1Rounds Won 1
Headshots .3Headshots .2Rounds Lost -.5
Sweep Bonus 22.5Sweep Bonus 15Match Won 10
Team Sweep 10

Fanduel has 6 slots for a captain, 4 standard players, and a team. The captain position does not affect a player’s salary like it does on Draftkings. This is particularly advantageous for when you have an inkling that a superstar will put up a large performance but you don’t want to limit your options elsewhere. The team slot will be a lot of fun for those situations where you like a team to win but don’t like the fantasy prospects of any particular players so you can still get some exposure. We figure most users will try to pick the cheapest winning team because a lot of the stats you get points for are hard to predict, but a winning team should definitely fare better.

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. 

mousesports(-357) V North(+) (9:00 AM EST)

mouz:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
ropz9,2001.160.7773.00%1.06
frozen8,2001.130.7272.20%1.08
woxic7,2001.060.6570.50%1.02
karrigan6,0000.930.665.90%0.95
chrisj5,8000.940.5968.40%0.89

This game is the largest difference in odds of any game featured on DK, besides the single game, and features a mouz squad we like to target but that has had recent issues. This should be the perfect spot for a rebound but be wary of recent performance problems. With that in mind, frozen is a guy who has been weathering the storm and is usually a guy that punishes lower quality opponents. His price is really approachable and we may one off him a bit if we are feeling trepidation about team stacking them here. Ropz and woxic are the next obvious guys to pair him with but woxic’s salary is better on a slate featuring NiKo and other solid options. 

Top Plays: frozen, ropz/woxic

N:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
aizy7,6001.090.7370.30%1.11
Kjaerbye7,0001.040.6866.40%1.03
cajunb6,2001.040.6771.30%0.9
gade5,4000.990.671.80%0.88
MSL4,6000.960.6266.40%0.99

North should be trashed by this team but they have upset teams like NaVi and have played well recently so we won’t write them off completely here. Aizy and cajunb would be the guys to carry them to an upset if they can pull it off, with cajunb being a recently consistent and reliable performer at a low price. You can try the combo as a high risk, high upside option but with 7 other teams to target that is not advised. 

Top plays: No first, aizy/cajunb

Heretics(+160) V ENCE(-213) (9:00 AM EST) 

HER:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Nivera7,8001.220.7976.30%1.14
Lucky6,8001.220.7976.30%1.14
Maka6,0001.130.770.60%1.21
kioShiMa5,6001.040.6172.30%0.88
xms4,40010.6172.10%0.92

The other DK only game is a close matchup of two crappier teams. ENCE is the betting favorite but we will take Heretics for the upset, as their map pool looks like a heavy advantage and that will be hard to overcome. Maka is our clear favorite target here and should be priced similarly to Nivera. Lucky is also under the radar in terms of price and even though we believe Nivera will outperform him, his price is a steal. If you believe in the upset, these three guys will take you to the promised land. 

Top plays: Maka, Lucky/Nivera

E:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
allu9,4001.080.7268.90%1.11
Aerial8,6000.980.6568.40%1.01
sergej7,4000.950.6266.40%0.88
suNny6,4000.950.6369.80%0.85
xseveN5,4000.880.5566.70%0.82

After ENCE’s upset of fnatic, they are now the #1 team in the world. Of course that’s a joke, but nonstop memes about this team make them difficult to take seriously (also because their roster is a dumpster). Their team pricing should make it obvious, as well as their stats, who their decent players are. If they stand to win again here, Aerial and allu will be the hard carries. 

Top plays: No first, Aerial/allu

FaZe(-101) V G2(-128) (12:30 PM EST) 

FaZe:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
NiKo9,60012,5001.260.8173.00%1.34
broky7,00011,3001.120.6875.60%0.96
rain6,4009,3001.10.6770.00%1.21
coldzera6,20010,7001.10.6974.40%0.97
olofmeister4,8009,6000.920.5569.20%0.76
FaZe Clan6,700

This should be a really even series and will likely come down to how the map selection works out. They lost 2-1 in their last series with G2 and every map went at least 27 rounds which is a good indicator for fantasy purposes. We really like broky here and think he is underpriced severely for this spot on DK and about right on Fanduel. NiKo is always a top option every time he plays but he’s expensive here. Coldzera is our third option on DK but we won’t touch that price on FD for him. 

Top plays: broky, NiKo, coldzera(DK)

G2:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
huNter-8,00011,9001.220.7973.00%1.26
nexa7,60010,6001.10.6775.60%1
kennyS7,20011,2001.20.7472.80%1.22
jaCkz6,60010,3001.040.6273.20%1.03
AmaNeK5,2009,2001.040.6373.70%0.82
G2 Esports6,800

HuNter-, nexa, and kennyS have been the main fraggers for this team and Draftkings/Fanduel have properly acknowledged that here with their pricing. If you feel comfortable with this game going the distance again, there should be plenty of opportunities for each of them. KennyS has the highest upside of the three if you want to shoot for the moon, but his teammates are more consistent as riflers. Map selection will be a huge influencer of kennyS’ performance. 

Top plays: huNter-, nexa/kennyS

c0ntact(-125) V Movistar Riders(-104) (12:30 PM EST)

cG:

PlayerFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
ottoND9,0009,3001.110.773.70%1.12
EspiranTo8,40011,0001.090.7269.50%1.13
SHiPZ6,80010,2001.010.6469.70%0.97
emi5,6008,1000.880.5465.70%0.83
LETN15,0009,4000.80.5459.00%0.74
c0ntact 8,100

Betting odds put this as a close series and map selections look like it’ll be some order of mirage, inferno, and nuke. This is close to a toss-up and EspirenTo has been the only consistent guy here since their roster change. OttoND has the most upside but with this team struggling, can he pay off a 9,000 salary on DK? He is much more palpable on Fanduel. 

Top Plays: No first, EspiranTo/ottoND(FD)

MR:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
ALEX8,8008,7001.070.6970.50%1.09
loWel7,40010,0001.060.6672.10%0.89
steel6,6008,9001.010.6569.40.98
EasTor5,8009,1000.990.6468.60%0.92
mopoz5,2009,3000.980.6269.10%0.99
Movistar Riders5,900

While c0ntact has been rediscovering themselves, Movistar Riders was busy upsetting one of the top teams in the world. Mopoz seems stupid cheap for the way he’s been playing on DK and we’ll probably sprinkle him in for value a bit. ALEX has the best numbers on the squad and is very cheap on FD for his potential. If they win here again, look for these guys to be the reason why. That being said, this isn’t a series we are really targeting. 

Top plays: No top, mopoz/ALEX(FD)

Isurus(+412) V BOOM(-667) (4:00 PM EST) 

Isu:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
noktse10,00011,5001.020.6666.80%1.11
19628,00010,70010.6568.70%1.02
decov9jse10,80010,5001.090.6973.00%1.01
L!nKz8,40010,2000.990.6469.70%0.92
reversive7,2009,5001.050.6872.50%0.93
Isurus 6,100

This game only exists as a single game slate on DK, so we have these teams listed by Fanduel salary to be more relevant. Isurus has already been swept twice by this BOOM team and their prices on Fanduel should get somebody fired there. Avoid these guys entirely on Fanduel. On DK, you’ll have to play somebody for the single game and there are two modes of thought here, get the cheapest guy positive if you want to pay up for the BOOM guys or try to pick the best player because you like a cheaper BOOM guy or 2. Noktse and decov9jse are the least terrible options here and you’ll not use either as a captain so you should be able to afford one or the other as the shitter you are required to roster. There really isn’t a single good play for this team and it’s about picking the guy who will suck the least for the single game, we see no reason to expect an upset. 

Top plays: BIG OOF

BOOM:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
chelo8,80010,4001.210.7473.30%%1.25
felps9,60010,4001.330.8873.00%1.57
yeL10,40010,0001.220.7477.20%1.13
boltz9,2009,8001.150.7175.40%1
shz7,6009,7001.090.6775.90.99
Boom Esports6,500

Chelo and yel should be automatic locks for the single game and very nice fanduel plays as well. After that, boltz is up and then you could try the other losers if you want to. Their team spot seems like a top Fanduel option.

Top plays: chelo/yel/Team spot(FD), boltz, felps/shz

Thank you for reading! Please check out our podcast, LOL, COD, Horse Racing, and eNascar articles. As well as yesterday’s CSGO article For even more great content, Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

Podcast: https://www.launchpaddm.com/pd/Game-On-DFS

4.25.20 CSGO: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/24/4-25-20-csgo-esl-slate/

4.26-27.20 LOL LPL: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/25/lol-lpl-4-26-27-20-slate/

4.26.20 CBLOL: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/25/4-26-20-draftkings-cblol-slate/

4.25.20 COD: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/25/4-25-20-cod-slate/

Horse Racing: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/24/carousel-bachelor/

eNascar: https://gameondailyfantasy.com/2020/04/24/talladega-enascar-pro-invitational-4-26-20/

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