05.14.20 CSGO ESL Slate

FaZe and NiP put on a show yesterday before Astralis stomped G2 and we have some losers bracket games today. Fanduel has a tiny 2 game slate because they suck and don’t care, but all 3 ESL games are featured on the main DK slate. A couple games should be close and then G2 is playing Heretics and we all know how that should go in theory. Hopefully none of the games go to triple OT and dominate the slate like yesterday and we can have a more normal day. As always, more detailed analysis can be found in the discord for premium members and we’d love to have you join us. Good luck and game on. 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

Fanduel Scoring

MVP – 1.5X Points (1)Player (4)Team (1)
Kills 3Kills 2Rounds Won 1
Deaths -1.5Deaths -1Rounds Lost -.5
Assists 1.5Assists 1Match Won 10
Headshots .3Headshots .2Team Sweep 10
Sweep Bonus 22.5Sweep Bonus 15

Fanduel has 6 slots for a captain, 4 standard players, and a team. The captain position does not affect a player’s salary like it does on Draftkings. This is particularly advantageous for when you have an inkling that a superstar will put up a large performance but you don’t want to limit your options elsewhere. The team slot will be a lot of fun for those situations where you like a team to win but don’t like the fantasy prospects of any particular players so you can still get some exposure. We figure most users will try to pick the cheapest winning team because a lot of the stats you get points for are hard to predict, but a winning team should definitely fare better.

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. 

Winstrike(-115) V Syman(-112) (7:00 AM EST)

Win:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
El1an9,0001.230.7472.60%1.28
Hobbit7,4001.130.7369.30%1.2
bondik6,6001.070.6672.50%0.94
Lack16,0001.050.6871.40%1.03
KrizzeN5,8001.020.6272.10%0.87

We kick off Draftkings slate with what is the opposite of the game of the day but rather a matchup of players nobody cares about. This is set to be a close series but the map pool makes a Winstrike victory seem very likely. We are torn as to whether or not we see 3 maps here. If it does, this series will have some great DFS potential. The top plays here are value plays who have the ability to crush value if this series goes in their favor but stacking can certainly pay off as well. 

Top Plays:

This content is for members only.

Sym:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Keoz8,4001.040.6871.40%1.03
mou8,0001.030.6768.30%1.02
n0rb3r77,0001.060.767.30%1.14
kreaz5,2000.940.668.90%0.75
neaLaN4,80010.6666.20%1.04

This team is alright with no clear leadership but their upset over NaVi should show you that this style has worked for them. We are not that high on these guys to win here despite the odds and will tread with caution. A one off or 2 feels like the right move with this team, but not stacking. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

Vitality(+115) V NiP(-149) (10:30 AM EST) 

Vit:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
ZywOo9,60012,1001.230.7872.80%1.26
shox6,8009,4000.990.6468.70%0.93
apEX6,4009,4000.960.6267.80%0.9
misutaaa5,6009,5000.950.6168.40%0.9
RpK5,0009,7000.990.6569.40%0.88
Team Vitality6,600

Vitality is the underdog here against an NiP team that has been performing even though their name suggests they’re a joke. ZywOo can be hot or cold and the same is true in his last 2 series against NiP (+23 and +3). This is an important series for them and he will have to step up and deliver so we may be a little bullish on him. The only problem is his supporting cast sucks. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

NiP:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Plopski7,20011,5001.20.7674.60%1.2
nawwk7,00011,0001.090.6974.50%1.01
REZ6,80010,4001.090.6871.70%1.1
twist6,6009,6001.050.6470.10%1.05
Lekr06,40010,1001.080.6871.10%1.06
NiP6,400

⅘ of Vitality’s roster is bantha fodder and that means good fantasy potential. Their salaries on DK are very reasonable and we may be looking at the chalk stack here, besides G2. Three names stand out and the others are riskier but still playable as contrarian dudes. 

Top plays:

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Heretics(+185) V G2(-250) (2:00 PM EST) 

HER:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Maka10,20011,7001.180.7472.10%1.28
Nivera7,80010,6001.140.7573.00%1.08
Lucky6,80010,2001.140.6973.70%1.11
kioShiMa4,6009,2001.020.6171.90%0.86
xms4,4009,0000.960.5970.80%0.88
Heretics6,300

Heretics has their hands full here against a G2 squad that was just squished by Astralis. They have been folding up against better quality teams and this is certainly one of those. We will be looking past them for the most part, especially given how their best player is the most expensive player on the slate for no comprehensible reason.     

Top plays:

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G2:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
kennyS8,80012,0001.190.7472.80%1.2
huNter-7,60010,8001.180.7771.90%1.21
nexa7,00011,4001.10.6774.80%1.02
jaCkz6,2009,9001.030.6372.50%1
AmaNeK5,40010,2001.050.6373.50%0.86
G26,200

This will likely be the chalk team with low pricing and a solid matchup. They play better against weaker competition and that’s what they have in front of them. We are worried about our sweep but their recent form hasn’t been commanding and we will not be surprised by 3 maps. Play their stars with confidence. 
Top plays:

This content is for members only.

Thank you for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask us any questions you have about the slate in the premium member discord!

Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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