5.23.20 CSGO DreamHack Slate

Today’s slate is more intriguing from a fan’s perspective but it’s also a tough one for DFS. Betting odds are a bit over the place today but feel as meaningless as we’ve ever seen. So many top teams have been looking rough but MIBR finally showed up yesterday. Hopefully we’ll see a few 3 game series and some big scores all around but more importantly we’ll see a few of you dominate the DFS scoreboards. Good luck everyone and game on. 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

Fanduel Scoring

MVP – 1.5X Points (1)Player (4)Team (1)
Kills 3Kills 2Rounds Won 1
Deaths -1.5Deaths -1Rounds Lost -.5
Assists 1.5Assists 1Match Won 10
Headshots .3Headshots .2Team Sweep 10
Sweep Bonus 22.5Sweep Bonus 15

Fanduel has 6 slots for a captain, 4 standard players, and a team. The captain position does not affect a player’s salary like it does on Draftkings. This is particularly advantageous for when you have an inkling that a superstar will put up a large performance but you don’t want to limit your options elsewhere. The team slot will be a lot of fun for those situations where you like a team to win but don’t like the fantasy prospects of any particular players so you can still get some exposure. We figure most users will try to pick the cheapest winning team because a lot of the stats you get points for are hard to predict, but a winning team should definitely fare better.

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. 

mousesports(-217) V BIG(+163) (8:00 AM EST)

mouz:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
ropz8,6001.140.7573.00%1.05
frozen7,8001.10.7071.20%1.06
woxic7,4001.050.6669.70%1.03
chrisj6,2000.90.5767.10%0.83
karrigan6,2000.90.5864.00%0.93

Is there a chance we can actually see a top 5 team in the world play like it? Mouz is quickly becoming a DFS villain by letting us all down in the juiciest of matchups and it’s getting old. BIG has been playing great as of late and they have a few maps that we think they are more than capable of pulling out against mouz and a 2-1 series seems likely. The top players on each side have high ceilings. 

Top Plays:

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BIG:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
syrsoN8,4001.20.7672.00%1.26
XANTARES7,6001.170.7772.30%1.16
k1to6,8001.010.6370.40%0.99
tabseN6,0001.170.7471.90%1.17
tiziaN5,4001.020.6071.90%0.88

These guys did a great job against MAd and now face a tougher opponent. XANTARES looks like a mess and we will wait for him to find his mouse before recommending him again. This team has one of the top value propositions on the slate and their performance is really more focused on whether or not mouz rounds into form or not. If we see the same mouz as yesterday, this should be a fun series. 

Top plays:

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MAD Lions(-145) V compLexity(+111) (11:30 AM EST) 

MAD:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Bubzkji8,0009,7001.170.7470.50%1.19
sjuush7,40010,6001.160.7372.20%1.19
AcilioN6,6009,50010.6171.00%0.89
roeJ6,60010,3000.990.6369.60%0.96
acoR6,40010,0001.080.6770.90%1.05
MAD Lions6,400

This is an exciting series and the closest matchup on paper of the day. We are leaning towards compLexity getting the upset but it should be tight. The top guys here are very playable on FD given their pricing but are more of a stretch for DK. 

Top plays:

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coL:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
blameF7,80011,5001.220.7376.10%1.13
k0nfig7,60011,8001.220.8273.20%1.32
oBo7,20011,5001.10.6673.90%1.02
poizon7,00010,9001.10.7171.10%1.09
RUSH4,6009,1000.960.7470.50%1.19
Complexity6,200

Draftkings was not nearly aggressive enough with their pricing for this teams as they have a great chance of winning this series. If they run it 2-1 or even a sweep, the top guys here will very likely be required to cash. This is a one of our favorite teams to target on the day, given the upside you get for the price. Look at FD and see how these guys should be priced. 

Top plays:

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Liquid(-312) V MIBR(+225) (3:10 PM EST) 

TL:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
EliGE8,80010,8001.190.7669.50%1.31
NAF8,20011,0001.150.7172.60%1.06
Twistzz7,20010,5001.090.7074.10%0.98
Stewie2K6,8009,80010.6369.10%1.03
nitr05,8009,5000.910.5570.00%0.77
Team Liquid6,600

Both of these teams have looked like trash recently, losing to inferior competition. Despite Liquid being the heavy favorite, this feels like a toss-up of 2 teams that need a wake up call. There are rumors of Liquid looking for a roster change and MIBR has already taken that step to stop their funk. This might be an interesting game to stack if it goes down to the wire but Liquid has swept them in their last 2 tries. 

Top plays:

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MIBR:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
FalleN8,00011,6001.150.7271.80%1.15
fer7,00010,5001.140.7473.50%1.13
kNgV-6,40011,1001.110.7470.80%1.14
trk5,60011,3001.10.7074.60%1.04
TACO5,0009,5000.940.5568.30%0.85
MIBR6,300

Trk has yet to make an impact as this team is still struggling. TACO really should have been the guy to get replaced as he continues to be their worst performer while meyern was scapegoated. In their last 2 tries against Liquid, they were swept but tried to keep it close with one map even going past OT. Liquid’s current form makes us feel that the 3rd time is the charm and MIBR has a chance here but losing 2-1 seems like the most likely outcome. 
Top plays:

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Thank you for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask us any questions you have about the slate in the premium member discord!

Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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