5.30.20 CSGO DreamHack Slate

We have some interesting pricing and likely chalky picks today. The key question will be whether or not we can afford to fade it or if we have to choke on the same chalk as everyone else. Hindsight will be 20/20 but will our predictions be as well? Good luck and game on. 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

Fanduel Scoring

MVP – 1.5X Points (1)Player (4)Team (1)
Kills 3Kills 2Rounds Won 1
Deaths -1.5Deaths -1Rounds Lost -.5
Assists 1.5Assists 1Match Won 10
Headshots .3Headshots .2Team Sweep 10
Sweep Bonus 22.5Sweep Bonus 15

Fanduel has 6 slots for a captain, 4 standard players, and a team. The captain position does not affect a player’s salary like it does on Draftkings. This is particularly advantageous for when you have an inkling that a superstar will put up a large performance but you don’t want to limit your options elsewhere. The team slot will be a lot of fun for those situations where you like a team to win but don’t like the fantasy prospects of any particular players so you can still get some exposure. We figure most users will try to pick the cheapest winning team because a lot of the stats you get points for are hard to predict, but a winning team should definitely fare better.

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. 

NiP(+118) V ENCE(-154) (8:00 AM EST)

NiP:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
hampus7,8001.070.7069.10%1.04
Plopski7,6001.150.7373.40%1.16
nawwk7,4001.10.7074.10%1.03
REZ7,0001.090.6872.20%1.1
twist6,6001.030.6269.80%1.04

NiP has their work cut o0ut for them with this series. They put up a solid fight against NaVi yesterday and nawwk did his best to hard carry but to no avail. We are not high on them to win but this series is close and when CS is online, anything goes. 

Top Plays:

This content is for members only.

ENCE:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
allu8,2001.170.7571.00%1.2
Jamppi8,0001.130.7570.60%1.22
sergej6,4001.050.6670.10%0.99
suNny5,40010.6569.20%0.99
Aerial5,2001.010.6470.40%1.01

EZ for ENCE? They blew it yesterday and are licking their wounds but this matchup is much more in their favor. Allu’s price has crashed back down to a reasonable level which is nice to see after seeing him priced way above his pay grade. This is a nice series for him to shine and ownership should be up on him. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

GODSENT(+185) V Spirit(-250) (11:30 AM EST) 

GOD:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Farlig8,40011,8001.120.7469.50%1.17
zehN7,0009,5001.070.7170.00%1.02
STYKO6,8009,8001.070.7069.00%1.06
Maden6,6009,4001.070.7268.20%1.17
kRYSTAL4,2009,0000.820.5064.70%0.79
Godsent6,200

Farlig has been an instant improvement but this team still has a long way to go. This is not a spot we desire to target for any reason with the way these teams have been playing. 

Top plays: No first, Farlig, Maden

SPI:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
mir7,80012,0001.250.7874.90%1.28
chopper7,40011,2001.090.6672.70%1.05
iDISBALANCE6,80010,5001.120.6872.30%1.08
sdy6,40010,1001.120.6874.80%0.99
magixx6,0009,9001.070.6673.30%0.98
Team Spirit6,700

This is a fantastic team to stack on Draftkings with no excuse for their low pricing. They lost to GODSENT in their last try but they have improved a great deal since then and they should be able to reverse that script this time around. The only thing that can stop them is their access to electricity. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

GenG(-141) V Cloud9(+108) (3:10 PM EST) 

GenG:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
koosta7,60010,2001.10.7170.20%1.13
autimatic7,20010,0001.090.6971.70%1.04
BnTeT7,20011,0001.080.6970.60%1.05
s0m5,60096001.010.6470.50%0.94
daps5,0009,3000.930.5769.40%0.8
Gen.G6,400

Cloud9 has won the last 2 versions of this series by a combined 4-1. We are not sure why GenG is the favorite here but we won’t ask questions and just play our own hand. Nearly every player for GenG went negative in both matchups and it’s hard to see a massive turnaround here. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

C9:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
oSee7,80011,4001.120.7172.10%1.06
floppy7,60011,6001.160.7472.90%1.17
Sonic6,20010,3001.070.6772.00%1.05
motm5,80010,8001.050.6971.00%0.97
JT48009,0000.910.5569.60%0.8
Cloud96,400

These guys are in a solid spot to take this series. They have a lot of positives on their end and their prior performances against this same team are definitely encouraging. These guys are very stackable and we will gladly buy a few shares. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

Thank you for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask us any questions you have about the slate in the premium member discord!

Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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