Tomorrow’s LPL matches mark the official return of the Summer Split. We have some LPL games this weekend, the LCS/LEC beginning next week, and the LCK returning on the 17th. There’s a lot to look forward to this split, but keep in mind the first few games of the split might be a bit up in the air. Long breaks can change teams in different ways, so a team with many issues during the spring might come back in the summer and surprise the world. With that being said, we’ll take a look at the games and see if there’s anything in particular to watch out for.
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|Creep Score||+0.02 Pts|
|10+ K/A Bonus||+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)|
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|First Blood||+2 Pts|
|Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus||+2 Pts|
EDG(-185) V WE(+141) (5 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||33:33||31:01|
Both teams in this matchup were eliminated earlier in the playoffs, but it’s WE who had the most surprising performances. After a long run of terrible games during the second half of the spring split, WE managed to propel themselves into the playoffs and were even looking strong enough to make it as one of the top 4 teams in the LPL. Unfortunately for them their comeback story was cut short by the dominant TES. WE had one other instance during the split where they won 3 series in a row, so they definitely haven’t been as consistent as EDG throughout the split, but when they are playing well they are playoff material. EDG’s consistency is a frightening thing, which explains their higher priced salaries on DK. If you aren’t confident in WE coming back strong, then EDG would be a safer bet.
EDG Top Picks:
As always, these picks are meant to reflect the players most likely to perform. Higher performances (especially in a Bo3/Bo5) are generally acquired by the players on the winning team. There are definitely exceptions to this rule, as we saw in some games during the Mid-Season Cup, which we’ll expand upon in an article to come over the next week. So don’t assume you must pick every player on this list; that won’t always be possible given salary restrictions. Instead use it and the analysis below as a guideline to make your own roster decisions.
On the EDG side, Aodi is an incredibly strong top laner and was one of the stronger points against WE during the playoffs (despite EDG losing that series 1-2.) Hope/Meiko have also been very consistent, even during games they’ve lost. Hope in particular has a great track record, making his expensive salary worth it. Scout is likely a good addition in the event of an EDG victory, so he’s worth including.
WE on the other hand have the greatest advantage in the jungle through beishang. EDG is starting JunJia, a jungler who has consistently played tanks (another reason Aodi looks good here, as we might not see Aodi thrown onto Ornn.) He can definitely rack up some solid assists as a tank jungler, contributing to his good KDA last split, but beishang is one of those classic LPL jungle monsters who has the potential to make short work of JunJia. Teacherma/Jiumeng are both solid choices in the event of a WE win, especially if beishang takes the time to prop them up. Most importantly, if you’re playing DK, WE’s roster is incredibly cheap, making for an excellent contrarian lineup. If WE do keep up their end of split success, these affordable players have the chance to show great value. FD is a slightly different story, so if you are deciding between the 2 platforms, you could very well make your decision based on which team you like better.
LNG(+143) V SN(-189) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||32:19||33:05|
Things are always a bit uncertain at the beginning of a split, but this matchup does look more solid than the EDG/WE series. LNG have some decent players but have been one of the weaker teams throughout the LPL Spring Split. SN aren’t exactly dominant either, but they’ve had better showings and are more reasonably priced across both DK and FD. As always with fantasy, particularly with LoL, don’t assume SN will 100% win and 100% deliver for your roster. This is the LPL however, so things are a bit more promising in terms of fantasy points; an LCK matchup like this is more likely to see 10 kills split between both teams per match. It’s also a Bo3 situation, so the games not played bonus could be very beneficial if SN sweeps LNG.
LNG Top Picks:
LNG’s picks are a bit difficult to predict given their chances. Chenlun17 played 8 games last split, and only did well for 2 of those games, and Iwandy only played twice. Xx has some decent performances when winning, so if LNG upsets SN he might be worthwhile. Maple/Light are in the same boat, but be prepared for these picks to disappoint if things go as expected.
Bin has some decent chances this series, but we are not including him as a top pick due to Wukong being globally banned. 5 of his 19 games last split were on Wukong, and they were undoubtedly his best games during the split. He’s not guaranteed to fail as a result of the ban, but given SN’s chances and the more expensive pricing, you might want to save your money for the others. SoFM;s potential is more consistent than Bin, although he isn’t exactly the main point of focus for SN. If you’re looking for SN players who will get the kills rather than assists, you’ll have better chances in Angel and huanfeng. The support for a winning team is generally a solid choice, so SwordArt is one of the more appealing support picks this slate. At the end of the day if you’re going for a safe lineup, you’ll need some SN players.
We’re going to keep an eye out over the next few weeks to see how LPL teams start off the split. We might see some strange games early on, as teams will have some time to recover from any losses acquired due to experimenting with different strategies and team compositions. At the same time, it’s a bit different from spring. Not every team is going to make it to Worlds, so we’ll see how that motivates some of the weaker teams in the LPL. We’ll also keep track of this across the LCS, LEC, and LCK, so we’ll have each major region under a magnifying glass.
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