As it turns out, yesterday’s slate saw great benefit in stacking the EDG/WE matchup. This isn’t usually the case in Bo3s, but EDG seem to be one of those teams who can perform win or lose. Interestingly enough, this slate might be a very similar story with the OMG/RNG matches netting the most points. V5/DMO could be interesting, but given the way SN/LNG went, it isn’t the most promising matchup. That being said, RNG/OMG isn’t necessarily going to play out as well as EDG/WE. Let’s take a look at the matchups and try to determine the best possible method of attack.
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|Creep Score||+0.02 Pts|
|10+ K/A Bonus||+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)|
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|First Blood||+2 Pts|
|Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus||+2 Pts|
V5(+160) V DMO(-213) (5 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||30:12||32:16|
If this was the Spring Split, we wouldn’t even try to include any analysis for this matchup. Just take a look at V5’s W/L. How that’s even possible we’ll never fully understand… but hey. New split, new beginnings. Mole is the only V5 member from last split to start tomorrow, so we might see something completely different out of this team. Don’t expect them to take on TES or FPX anytime soon, but DMO is far more realistic. Also remember this is the new V5 roster’s first competitive match together (aside from scrims) so they might not be firing on all cylinders.
V5 Top Picks: Biubiu, SamD, ppgod DMO Top Picks: Xiaopeng, Twila, Helper, Mitsuki
If V5 pulls through, those 3 players have some good chances. Unfortunately there isn’t much available for Weiwei, but Biubiu is the only other player who has actually played in the LPL recently. The bot lane could also prove to be useful in the event of a V5 win given their more decent stats throughout the year.
DMO have some decent players returning, and they’ve even included a new bot lane in their lineup. Natural hasn’t had the best record and isn’t really worth the investment, especially given how expensive DMO’s players are on DK. Twila (formerly Xiaowei, RNG’s mid sub from last split) and the rest of the roster look pretty good, so no real complaints there.
The main issue at hand is whether or not they will be worth choosing even if V5 gets dominated once more. If these two series go the same way as the previous slate, then you’ll want RNG/OMG players for sure. SN had some average scores against LNG, but it didn’t quite cut it due to the intensity of the other games (particularly Game 2, WE’s first victory.) Given some of the developments in the RNG/OMG matchup, it might be a good idea to stick to the regular formula this time around, especially if you play FD. RNG and OMG have the most expensive picks on FD due to the craziness of the previous slate, so if a successful lineup this time around includes stacking the winning teams from both matchups, FD will make that easy.
RNG(-156) V OMG(+120) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||33:50||31:12|
OMG has been pretty well known for their aggression, similarly to eStar. They were basically a slightly weaker version of eStar last split (before eStar collapsed of course.) Under normal circumstances, given the developments in RNG’s roster changes, RNG would be looking fantastic here. However, it’s hard to believe they’ll go 2-0 here as RNG have made the bizarre decision to start New and Xiaohu in TOP and MID. Ok, it’s the beginning of the split, so why not mess with your lineup. But unless Cryin and 705 are sick, expect them to be subbed in if things go disastrously wrong for RNG in the 1st game. Xiaohu isn’t the worst player in the world, but New’s record is pretty abysmal and Cryin is just a monster. It’s these decisions that make another 1 series slaughterfest entirely possible. That being said, in the case Xiaohu and New are subbed out, you’ve lost 2 crucial roles for RNG’s side.
RNG Top Picks: XLB, Betty, Ming OMG Top Picks: Curse, H4cker, SmLz, cold
The only way New and Xiaohu become worthwhile picks is if RNG completely dominate OMG and don’t need to sub in their better players. This is possible but we don’t really see it happening. So, if you like RNG or want to include players from both teams in this series, you’re better off going for the top picks listed here. That being said, we don’t have the same level of confidence in Betty/Ming as we would in Hope/Meiko in a losing situation, but RNG’s past record against OMG has been pretty good (and the only change here is New.)
It will be interesting to see if OMG can take advantage of RNG’s weaker starting lineup. They aren’t exactly the most consistent team in the LPL, but their opponents leave some room for them to shine. Curse isn’t usually that great of a pick, but this is one of those situations where his lane opponent will actually make a big difference. It would be surprising if New stood up to him here. Even with Xiaohu in play, icon isn’t the greatest mid laner to prioritize. The rest of the roster looks good in the case of an OMG victory, but maybe not in the case of a defeat.
We mentioned the possibility of stacking OMG/RNG players a few times throughout this article, but when all is said and done, it isn’t really the best option. OMG has consistently been outperformed in the games they’ve lost, so they don’t have much to show for there. Their style is definitely early game aggression and it isn’t often we see them dominate the scoreboard early just to lose late, making this series far more one sided in whichever direction. RNG’s roster decisions make for some sketchy lineups, but their strength as a team should be able to pull them through here. All of this makes FD easier to play for this slate, as OMG and RNG are the most expensive players, leaving DMO/V5 picks far easier to acquire. For DK players, if you plan on betting against V5, the DMO/RNG lineup will be far more difficult to construct
Thanks for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask any questions you may have in the premium member discord. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS