06.08.20 CSGO DreamHack

DreamHack has given us a 3 game slate on both sites and it seems like DK and FD are on the same page here for the first time in a while. This makes it so much easier to talk about and we are very appreciative! There are a few solid teams to target, one to avoid, and a few in between. It looks like a tough slate to navigate which hopefully means a better tourney that is more competitive. Have fun, good luck, and game on. 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

Fanduel Scoring

MVP – 1.5X Points (1)Player (4)Team (1)
Kills 3Kills 2Rounds Won 1
Deaths -1.5Deaths -1Rounds Lost -.5
Assists 1.5Assists 1Match Won 10
Headshots .3Headshots .2Team Sweep 10
Sweep Bonus 22.5Sweep Bonus 15

Fanduel has 6 slots for a captain, 4 standard players, and a team. The captain position does not affect a player’s salary like it does on Draftkings. This is particularly advantageous for when you have an inkling that a superstar will put up a large performance but you don’t want to limit your options elsewhere. The team slot will be a lot of fun for those situations where you like a team to win but don’t like the fantasy prospects of any particular players so you can still get some exposure. We figure most users will try to pick the cheapest winning team because a lot of the stats you get points for are hard to predict, but a winning team should definitely fare better.

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. 

compLexity(+134) V fnatic(-175) (8:00 AM EST)

coL:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
blameF8,40011,3001.250.7576.90%1.16
k0nfig7,20011,5001.180.7872.60%1.26
oBo7,00010,9001.130.6974.70%1.06
poizon6,60010,3001.10.7071.10%1.11
RUSH4,8008,5000.970.5871.90%0.85
Complexity6,300

Despite being swept by fnatic on the road to Rio, coL kept both maps close and they should be able to hang once again here. We always like looking at 1 or 2 guys off the top on either side of a close series and there is an interesting value proposition here with that in mind. 

Top Plays:

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FNC:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Brollan8,60011,7001.110.7470.30%1.2
flusha8,20011,4001.10.6970.80%1.09
KRIMZ7,80010,5001.070.6972.10%0.97
JW6,8009,9001.030.6767.50%1.11
Golden5,6008,7000.910.5767.60%0.84
Fnatic6,600

Their 2-0 sweep sounds a lot more special than the stat lines the individual players put up and this is not a great spot to try to stack. We may take a value approach here as well and chalk this series up as one that may be fun to watch but isn’t the best to target for DFS purposes. 

Top plays: J

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MAD Lions(-127) V Spirit(-103) (11:50 AM EST) 

MAD:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Bubzkji8,0009,7001.190.7571.00%1.25
sjuush7,20010,1001.140.7272.20%1.12
AcilioN6,4009,0000.980.6070.90%0.84
acoR6,4009,1001.110.6971.80%1.07
roeJ6,4009,9001.040.6671.80%1.01
MAD Lions6,400

MAD is currently the betting favorite but Spirit has been playing really well and this may be a toss up. We are probably going to stack either team on lineups to have exposure to both outcomes, assuming this could swing in either direction. This should be a fun series for DFS potential. MAD has peculiar pricing on FD in particular. 

Top plays:

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SPI:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
mir7,40011,8001.250.7975.30%1.29
chopper7,00011,2001.10.6673.00%1.07
iDISBALANCE6,80010,7001.120.6872.70%1.08
magixx6,20010,8001.090.6773.30%1.02
sdy6,2009,6001.110.6874.80%0.98
Team Spirit6,300

This team has looked pretty good and they have a few solid players that can produce. It’s easy to identify their top player and then after that you may want to target value relative to upside. If they win, this team may be the key to DFS. 

Top plays:

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Heroic(+160) V Vitality(-213) (3:30 PM EST) 

HER:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
stavn7,6009,8001.140.7372.90%1.06
niko6,60010,2001.150.7569.80%1.21
b0RUP6,0008,2001.060.6573.40%1.01
TeSeS6,00010,0001.10.7171.60%1.12
cadiaN5,8009,2001.080.6669.40%1.09
Heroic6,100

ZywOo has been playing at an unprecedented level recently, terrorizing opposing teams. This is a scary matchup for Heroic and they are the team we’d try to avoid today given the circumstances and they aren’t a great team to begin with. 

Top plays:

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VIT:

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
ZywOo9,40012,0001.270.8174.30%1.32
shox6,8009,4001.040.6670.30%0.98
apEX6,6009,2000.990.6368.50%0.95
misutaaa6,2008,9000.990.6270.70%0.95
RpK5,4009,30010.6470.70%0.89
Team Vitality6,500

It’s the ZywOo show and he has an over 1.5 Impact over recent tourney play…absurd. It’s hard to consider avoiding him and the real question is to captain or not to captain. The rest of this team blows but there are some chances for solid performances and value against a mediocre Heroic team. 

Top plays:

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Thank you for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask us any questions you have about the slate in the premium member discord!

Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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