NASCAR is back on Wednesday at Martinsville speedway, the shortest track in the cup series. It’s short and flat, making it a bit difficult to pass people so we should see some big laps lead numbers from some drivers at the front. Pricing is pretty different on both sites so pay attention to that and keep in mind the different scoring systems. Good luck and game on!
First of all, below you can see the Draftkings scoring system that is heavily weighted on predicting top finishers, with no captain’s slot or any distinction between picks. The name of this game will be finding lower priced participants that finish well to help afford the more premium guys that are safer bets to show up around the top of the leaderboard. With a solid amount of points being given as a result of place differential, it’s important to pay attention to where racers will be starting in order to find good opportunities. This will be set right before lock so if you play this seriously, you have to be paying attention (or just play on Fanduel haha).
|Place Differential||+/- 1 Pt|
|Fastest Laps||+0.5 Pts|
|Laps Led||+0.25 Pts|
|Finishing Position Scoring|
The largest difference for Fanduel is the lack of scoring for place differential, with points for completing laps instead. This negates the lack of knowledge of where the racers will be starting until just before the contest and helps reward drivers who finish the race over those who give up or say things you probably shouldn’t on stream.
Lineup construction is focused on locking in likely top performers and then finding value plays that will severely outperform their salary expectations. Now that we are back to normal racing, there should be more consistent performances, fewer strange issues, but also the issue of more severe fallout from crashes.
Below we have current betting odds for each driver. These odds are as of 10:00 PM EST on 6/9 and we will look for some value plays relative to their FD & DK pricing.
|Name||Starting Position||Draftkings Salary||Fanduel Salary||William Hill Odds||Bet Online Odds|
|Martin Truex Jr||5||10300||14000||11-2||+600|
|Ricky Stenhouse Jr||17||6700||6200||200-1||+15000|
|John H. Nemechek||18||5500||5500||750-1||+50000|
Jimmie Johnson sticks out due to the substantial pricing difference between sites, and this makes him a site-specific play in our eyes. He does provide great upside from place differential on DK, but his price is tough to fit in. He has top 10 upside here and is a great play on Fanduel, and if you can afford him, he fits the mold on Draftkings perfectly. It’s hard to look past Brad Keselowski after he led 446/500 laps here last year, and his starting position gives him an opportunity to grab a bunch again today. He is a definite threat to win again and could be among the top scorers if he can get in the lead for a while. In the other Martinsville race last year, Martin Truex Jr. led 464 laps, making him a good pivot off of Keselowski. Either one of those 2 guys is capable of leading a good chunk of this race, so starting off your lineup with one of them could pay big dividends.
Another guy that’s much more expensive on Draftkings, Christopher Bell is once again starting near the rear, and he has shown his upside recently with 2 top-10s in his last 4 races. Bell could very well finish with the largest place differential making him a great driver to target, especially on Fanduel where he is so cheap. We’ve already talked about how many laps guys are capable of leading here, and who better to lead than the pole sitter Ryan Blaney? While he doesn’t provide place differential points, he can make up for that by leading a good portion of the race and there is a good chance he stays in the top-5 here. Matt DiBenedetto doesn’t have the best recent form, but he definitely has top-15 to top-10 potential which should be good enough for his price. It’s much more comfortable to fit him in on Draftkings where he is a good bit cheaper though.
High risk / high return:
To fit in the top guys, we need some value, and we usually look for place differential points down here. Ryan Preece finished 16th and 19th here last year and is starting 28th, giving him a lot of potential fantasy points if he can replicate last year’s results. Another cheap guy with decent track history is Bubba Wallace, who finished 17th and 13th here and is starting at 23rd today. His Draftkings price isn’t great, but Fanduel allows you to plug him in with a couple top guys. Following the history line, Ty Dillon has 2 top-15s in his last 3 appearances here, and his 30th starting position makes him very intriguing for DFS.
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