Well, things didn’t go exactly as expected for Day 1 of the LCK. EDG did pull through, but it turns out AF Mystic was one of the greatest picks of the day, only a few points down on Hope. Between that and the incredibly close series between DRX and T1, things are definitely looking surprising… and even though LPL players do historically score more points,
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|Creep Score||+0.02 Pts|
|10+ K/A Bonus||+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)|
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|First Blood||+2 Pts|
|Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus||+2 Pts|
KT(-286) V DYN(+208) (4 AM EST)
|Stats||KT||DYN (CK STATS)|
|Avg. Game Length||32:11||32:15|
It’s DYN’s 1st series in the LCK this year, and they’ll have to go against KT. It’s for this reason the KT players are so expensive, yet they could be a good investment. Obviously DYN’s statistics are based on their split in the CK against weaker teams, although KT’s K+D/Game stat is pretty low. Keep an eye on twitter to check for lineups as well, since KT could be starting a few different players. Still, there isn’t a whole lot to be said about DYN confidently defeating KT tomorrow; just keep in mind it’s both teams’ 1st game back.
KT Top Picks:
A KT victory could mean a phenomenal game for these picks, especially Aiming. His stats are incredibly attractive, but don’t expect that out of him in a losing scenario. Given we haven’t seen DYN in the LCK before, we’re not sure if they’ll be able to surprise, but we noticed their top laner Rich wasn’t the strongest player. We didn’t include KT’s top because we’re not sure who it will be, but if you manage to find a confirmed roster before the games begin, KT’s top laner (SoHwan or Smeb most likely) could be another worthy investment. If you want to grab some DYN picks, Beyond and Kuzan are your best bet. Still, after what happened with Mystic on AF, Aiming looks to be a very tempting choice. Just be mindful of how expensive he is.
V5(-147) V BLG(+113) (5 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||31:08||33:53|
We’ve got two lower tier teams going at it here, although V5’s record is still pretty decent. They went 1-2 against LGD, and their 1st loss saw a respectable gold difference, so don’t assume they’ve fallen apart. In spite of BLG’s victory over ES, V5 still looks incredibly strong and could make short work of BLG here (assuming WeiWei remembers to take smite that is.)
V5 Top Picks
What’s good about V5 in this slate is their prices compared to JDG. After JDG’s recent flops, it’s a bit concerning to spend so much salary on them against a fairly solid team, RNG. V5 vs BLG is a bit safer bet with the added benefit of a cheaper salary. If you play DK, SamD is especially tempting as Aiming and LokeN are both more expensive (KT’s whole roster is more expensive than V5’s on FD.) We’ll talk about the chances of JDG below, but for now, V5’s roster has performed very well under winning circumstances, and if you’re looking for a solid top laner, Biubiu is a great choice. The other picks are all fairly consistent players and worth a shot. If you want to go for a 4 stack on V5, you can add Mole or Ppgod; Ppgod would likely be the better choice for salary purposes, as players like SamD have been more consistent than Mole.
JDG(-222) V RNG(+166) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||32:44||33:50|
TES might be an extremely dominant team, but it was still surprising to see JDG fall apart so easily. Kanavi especially has been a disappointment compared to how he performed last split, so this matchup is honestly worrying. JDG have a tendency to score incredibly well against their opponents if they have the upper hand, but RNG have been pretty good so far and we’re not 100% sure JDG has gotten back into the groove of things. This series is going to tell us a lot about JDG going forward for the next few weeks.
It’s also worth mentioning that RNG’s prices are likely low due to them losing so badly to LNG. Still, one series against a team they might not have prepared as much for isn’t necessarily reason to rule them out. They’re sure to be bringing it all against the Spring Split Champions.
JDG Top Picks:
One of the things worrying us about this matchup is XLB. In the 2 matchups RNG won, XLB was a worthwhile Captain slot, something you don’t often see for a jungler. If Kanavi makes a comeback it could be devastating for him, but it’s all up in the air. If RNG does well, we’re likely to see XLB play a big role in that.
We listed 4 possible picks for RNG since that could be a powerful lineup if JDG falls apart, but be careful. We do think this matchup will be uncertain, but it is a bit risky regardless. After all, it’s JDG we’re betting against, so it’s possible they were simply caught off guard by TES the other day. In that case, Kanavi/LokeN/LvMao work well, as Zoom has been slightly less reliable lately and Yagao has been seen playing a more supportive role in some of these games.
SP (APK)(+103) V HLE(-133) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||34:27||33:01|
Neither of these teams had the best split, but the AF/SB matchup has taught us to never discount a series again. They aren’t all going to end up with pentakills and high ADC fantasy scores, but still. SP will be starting a new mid laner and HLE a new ADC, although V1PER used to be on this team so there could be less of a learning curve. It’s probably the addition of V1PER that puts HLE’s roster ahead in salary cost, but that might not be the best way to go.
SP Top Picks:
CuVee hasn’t had the best record, but in a matchup against Ikssu he should have the edge. That is assuming Flawless doesn’t make it a point to play topside, but with the addition of V1PER we could see a lot of bottom lane focus in this series. A lot of HLE’s success here could depend on V1PER, so it isn’t necessarily contrarian to go for SP. Odds are you’re better off not stacking this matchup, as there are some other crazy games in this slate, but we’re not going to completely discourage it. Weaker teams going at it can sometimes result in one-sided disasters, and honestly that can happen with both teams here. These picks reflect the ideal choices if you needed 2 players, but don’t feel as if you can’t stack one or the other teams. We would suggest avoiding stacking both of these teams, as that’s even more likely to fail (especially since the T1/DRX series saw kills on both sides, but the scoring was simply low.)
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