06.19.20 CSGO BLAST

Pricing today is a bit strange and it may end up being a slate dominated by the mid tier options. Locking in s1mple or ZywOo is prohibitively expensive, while a bunch of other stars are under $8k. Tough matchups for the top 2 players in the world make it seem difficult for them to reach value but they are hard to bet against. Good luck to everyone and game on! 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

Fanduel Scoring

MVP – 1.5X Points (1)Player (4)Team (1)
Kills 3Kills 2Rounds Won 1
Deaths -1.5Deaths -1Rounds Lost -.5
Assists 1.5Assists 1Match Won 10
Headshots .3Headshots .2Team Sweep 10
Sweep Bonus 22.5Sweep Bonus 15

Fanduel has 6 slots for a captain, 4 standard players, and a team. The captain position does not affect a player’s salary like it does on Draftkings. This is particularly advantageous for when you have an inkling that a superstar will put up a large performance but you don’t want to limit your options elsewhere. The team slot will be a lot of fun for those situations where you like a team to win but don’t like the fantasy prospects of any particular players so you can still get some exposure. We figure most users will try to pick the cheapest winning team because a lot of the stats you get points for are hard to predict, but a winning team should definitely fare better.

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. 

NaVi(-122) V G2(-106) (10:30 AM EST)

NaVi:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
s1mple9,6001.320.8775.30%1.38
electronic7,6001.140.7370.80%1.18
Perfecto5,8000.930.5668.90%0.77
Boombl45,4000.950.6066.30%0.95
flamie4,6000.920.5768.00%0.81

NaVi was swept by G2 last week in a really close series that saw some OT as well. Their map pool is a tough matchup with G2 and we’ll likely see similar maps selected here again. S1mple had a rare off performance there and a rebound by him could mean the difference in the series. Do we see him flop again or does he storm back to take the series for NaVi? 

Top Plays: No first, s1mple, electronic

G2:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
nexa8,2001.080.6871.30%1.03
huNter-7,8001.150.7569.70%1.1
kennyS7,2001.110.7071.30%1.09
jaCkz6,4001.020.6570.50%1.01
AmaNeK5,8000.990.6072.30%0.82

This should be a battle that G2 won last time. But just as s1mple played like crap, so did kennyS. His favorite map will be banned again but if they play Dust again we have to imagine he plays better there as the AWPer. This is a weird series to play but their pricing makes a few guys accessible. 

Top plays: huNter, nexa, kennyS

Vitality(-112) V NiP(-115) (2:00 PM EST) 

Vit:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
ZywOo10,4001.280.8274.10%1.34
shox6,8001.040.6670.80%0.98
apEX6,6000.970.6367.90%0.94
RpK6,20010.6471.30%0.9
misutaaa5,6000.970.6170.60%0.9

This looks like a great series for Vitality and that sucks because we wanted to just ignore Zywoo’s absurd price but we really can’t. In their last 4 full series against NiP, ZywOo’s best performance was +15 which is solid, but nothing crazy like his price. This may be a rare moment where we look at other players on Vitality and leave ZywOo on the bench. 

Top plays: shox, ZywOo

NiP:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
nawwk7,4001.120.7374.20%1.07
Plopski7,0001.130.7272.70%1.14
REZ6,8001.060.6771.00%1.08
twist6,6001.030.6369.50%1.04
hampus5,0000.980.6467.50%0.97

NiP has played Vit hard in the nearly half dozen opportunities they’ve had in the past few weeks but they seem to fall short each time. Nawwk hasn’t had great success and a few of the cheaper options have shown up in the closer series with solid recent form as well. We’re not sure this team is one to stack but there are options that can pay off their price.  

Top plays: No first, Plopski, REZ/twist

MiBR(-115) V Evil Geniuses(-112) (5:30 PM EST) 

MiBR:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
FalleN8,8001.150.7372.50%1.16
kNgV-8,4001.140.7671.30%1.2
fer8,0001.150.7573.80%1.15
TACO4,8000.930.5569.60%0.81
trk4,4001.020.6373.90%0.9

MiBR really needs to win this series to show they are still a major player in the NA scene. EG has had their hiccups recently and they need to capitalize. This looks like a close series and it will be decided between the stars on each side. Fer looked absolutely lost last time and he will need to step it up. 

Top plays: FalleN, kNgV, fer/trk

EG:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Brehze7,0001.120.7471.60%1.06
CeRq7,0001.110.7170.40%1.16
Ethan6,8001.070.6771.90%1.08
tarik6,0001.020.6669.10%1.02
stanislaw5,2000.940.5668.50%0.82

EG just upset Liquid due to some great play from Brehze…finally. If he keeps that form into this series, they should be able to beat MiBR. If we see another shaky performance from him or CeRq, this team will sink with them. 

Top plays: Brehze/CeRq, Ethan, tarik

Thank you for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask us any questions you have about the slate in the premium member discord!

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