06.19.20 LOL LPL/LCK Slate

Poor Aiming. If KT doesn’t get it together this split, he needs to find a new team. But that’s jumping the gun a bit; after all, KT did make the playoffs in the spring. Some more work and they could be a real threat this time around. But hey, props to DYN for pulling through. 

As it turns out, JDG still isn’t doing so well. We thought they might not be ready to dominate RNG, but it’s nonetheless a bit of a shock to see the champions mess up to this degree. Still, don’t count them out of the split by any means. They may need a few more series, but they can still climb back. 

Players

StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+3 Pts
Assists+2 Pts
Deaths-1 Pt
Creep Score+0.02 Pts
10+ K/A Bonus+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)

Teams

StatisticFantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Turrets+1 Pt
Dragons+2 Pts
Barons+3 Pts
First Blood+2 Pts
Win+2 Pts
Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus+2 Pts

SB(+198) V DWG(-270)  (4 AM EST)

StatsSBDWG
W/L16/2822/21
Avg. Game Length33:3733:31
Dragons/Game2.202.63
Barons/Game.45.74
Turrets/Game5.16.7
K+D/Game21.422.9

Matchup Analysis

After how terrible SB looked against AF, DWG appear to be the favorites here. Still, it’s DWG’s first game since the MSC, so you never know what strategies they’ll pull out. The lower salaries makes this a tempting matchup to focus, especially given how expensive the LPL matches are. We’ll get into that further on as usual, but for now let’s look at these teams. 

SBKP%KDACS/M
Summit64.4%2.18.2
OnFleek71.8%2.75.6
Dove60.9%3.18.4
Route64.2%3.410.1
GorillA69.4%2.8.8
DWGKP%KDACS/M
Nuguri62.9%2.48.8
Canyon69.5%3.35.3
ShowMaker72.4%4.98.7
Ghost
BeryL65.9%3.31.2

SB Top Picks:

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DWG Top Picks:
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Nuguri is an expensive top laner to grab, but he could be worth the investment. He had a history of playing more aggressive top laners last split, and he’ll be facing off against Summit. His salary cost might be problematic as a one off, but stacking DWG’s lineup with Nuguri is possible. Canyon and ShowMaker are good options, even if Dove is a fairly strong mid laner, and the winning ADC is a pretty good bet. 

Given the other games to follow in this slate, you might be tempted to skip this matchup entirely. This might be the way to go, but after Day 1 of the LCK, there’s no guarantee games like DRX/GEN will score very well… not to mention the LPL has been a bit strange lately. Don’t feel as if you have to stack DWG in order to succeed, but it’s worth the consideration.

ES(-127) V LNG(-103)  (5 AM EST)

StatsESLNG
W/L23/1415/26
Avg. Game Length34:2632:19
Dragons/Game3.082.41
Barons/Game1.16.44
Turrets/Game7.45.7
K+D/Game30.325.9

Matchup Analysis

It seems rather ridiculous to suggest LNG has a chance in this matchup, but after some of the more recent games from both teams, we could see another upset. The ES players can be lucrative choices in the event of a victory, but they’ve had their fair share of issues lately. Even so, ES should still prevail here. Their performance in Game 1 against BLG still resulted in a number of kills for them, which is impressive given their jungler didn’t even have smite. Given the fact ES docked Wei’s pay for a month, you know that won’t happen again. 

ESKP%KDACS/M
Xiaobai56.8%3.67.1
Wei77.4%4.94.5
Fenfen86.8%3.67
Wink71.4%6.110
ShiauC71.8%3.71.1
LNGKP%KDACS/M
chenlun1759.5%2.16.6
Xx67.2%2.54.9
Maple70.6%3.97.9
Light57.7%2.79.6
Duan60%0.31.2

ES Top Picks

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LNG Top Picks:
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An ES victory might be very rewarding, but it’s very expensive. You’ll have to choose your players carefully, and these 3 have pretty good chances. Fenfen has been one of ES’s best players so far, so he could be worth the cost. If Wei remembers to take smite then he’ll work out very nicely as well, and Wink has been a great choice for racking up points (as expected.) Xiaobai could perform, but with the expensive salaries you need to prioritize the carries.

The picks for LNG are worth considering and would make for a wonderful contrarian lineup. It doesn’t seem as likely for sure, even after the disaster that was ES/BLG, but LNG has surprised before. Maple is an excellent mid laner and traditionally scores well in a victory, with Light as the top performer. Interestingly enough, if we see ES perform well on kills yet fail to close out the game, this series could even be stackable. We don’t like advocating for this too often in a Bo3 scenario, but it’s still worth looking for those special opportunities. 

FPX(-208) V WE(+157)  (7 AM EST)

StatsFPXWE
W/L27/1320/21
Avg. Game Length31:4731:01
Dragons/Game2.702.54
Barons/Game.73.66
Turrets/Game6.75.8
K+D/Game25.928.1

Matchup Analysis

Both teams are strong, although their players haven’t exactly blown up the scoreboard. This is sure to be an interesting matchup, even if FPX does have a slight edge. At this point in the season, it could go either way. Both teams have also run similar team compositions, so it’ll be interesting to see how they play into each other. What makes WE tempting is their incredibly low salaries, as the FPX players are priced just underneath the ES lineup (on DK that is. FD made most of FPX’s lineup the most expensive in the slate.) So fitting in a dominant WE lineup is going to be a walk in the park, but grabbing the right FPX players might prove to be more challenging.

FPXKP%KDACS/M
Khan57.7%2.87.2
Tian67.9%3.95.1
Doinb73%5.78.5
Lwx72.3%6.59.5
Crisp69.7%5.11
WEKP%KDACS/M
Morgan57.7%2.87.4
beishang74.8%4.45.5
Teacherma71.1%4.47.2
Jiumeng74.3%4.38.8
Missing75.1%3.81.2

FPX Top Picks:

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WE Top Picks:
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Doinb is a must have for one simple reason: he’s playing against a Plat 3 mid laner! Ok, jokes aside don’t let that dampen your opinion of Teacherma too much. He’s sitting in Challenger on the Korean server, and odds are he was messing around with strategies on his platinum account. Either way, Teacherma isn’t really known as the star of the team, so you’re better off with the other picks for WE. If you want to stack WE, you might want to consider the team spot; there are a lot of great mid laners in this slate with more potential. So Doinb is a decent choice, but it’s also possible he plays support mid laners like Karma once more, making him an expensive choice with not as much reward.

Khan and Lwx are two great choices for FPX, so make sure you have them if you like FPX here. Khan has been playing some aggressive top laners for some time now, and the meta is only making it more popular. Morgan will likely be put on a tankier choice, so expect some Ornn out of him. Meanwhile, the jungle matchup is going to be insane, but it might not be worth it to grab Tian when other options remain open. Beishang on the other hand is obviously going to be cheap, so definitely grab him if you’re looking at the WE players.

DRX(-118) V GEN(-110)  (7 AM EST)

StatsDRXGEN
W/L31/1531/13
Avg. Game Length32:4533:34
Dragons/Game2.722.80
Barons/Game.70.80
Turrets/Game6.87.4
K+D/Game23.420.1

Matchup Analysis

After the DRX/T1 series, we’ve grown a bit skeptical of the stronger LCK teams fighting each other. Given the nature of the LCK, it does make sense that these games would be close yet with not-so-impressive kill counts. We could see the same here, although GEN is playing their first game of the Summer Split here, so anything is possible.  

DRXKP%KDACS/M
Doran59.1%3.58.3
Pyosik73.8%5.25.7
Chovy65.8%5.69.3
Deft70.4%4.910
Keria73.1%4.61
GENKP%KDACS/M
Rascal57.8%48.1
Clid74.2%5.15.5
Bdd75.4%6.78.4
Ruler66.3%7.210.5
Life*67.1%5.5.9

DRX Top Picks:

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After Deft’s performance, we might see DRX give the supporting mid laner a shot. So far, Chovy has opted for Twisted Fate, Ziggs, and Ekko. However, Deft is one of DRX’s greatest assets and could carry incredibly hard with Chovy on Karma or Lulu. We might see the same out of GEN, but we won’t know for certain. Pyosik was a monster as well against T1, although Doran fell a bit flat. It would be a bit surprising if Doran was placed on a carry top laner while Pyosik is left to fill the role of tank. 

Rascal might have his opening in this top lane, especially if his team lends him a helping hand. However, given the threat Deft poses, we might see some bot lane pressure prioritized. That’s why Bdd might not be as likely to take the support mid laner route, and he could be devastating in this scenario. 

Thanks for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask any questions you may have in the premium member discord. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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