Coming into this slate, there seem to be some obvious favorites, but anything can happen in LOL. Hell, Victory 5 looks like a top LPL team right now after going 0-16 last split. The LPL players are starting to outscore the LCK players more as we get further into the season, so stacking the LPL games is looking like the way to go once again. We have a bunch of substitutions today, with the most important one coming for EDG because Hope has a collapsed lung. We Hope he recovers quickly for both his own health and for EDG’s hopes of making playoffs. Remember, there is always a sub risk with the LCK players, and with all the new starters in the LPL games, there is a chance they could get subbed out mid series as well.
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|Creep Score||+0.02 Pts|
|10+ K/A Bonus||+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)|
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|First Blood||+2 Pts|
|Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus||+2 Pts|
T1(-323) V AF(+232) (4 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||32:48||36:20|
The T1 players come in as the 3rd most expensive option at every position on both sites, which makes sense considering their low fantasy point totals in wins. They are a great team that can win through macro without just fighting all the time, so their players don’t usually score as much as the kill happy LPL teams for instance. Despite this team play, T1 has struggled (by their standards) to start the split while Afreeca Freeks has looked great so far. AF will need to fight their way out of this one if they want to take the series, so their players could score well if this match ends in an upset.
T1 Top Picks:
As mentioned above, the T1 players don’t usually score all that much when they win, so only their laners are recommended here. They have safe(ish) floors with the amount of CS they can accumulate assuming we get the usual lengthy LCK games and should get the vast majority of the team’s kills. On the other side, All of the AF players are in play if you are playing the upset card as they will need to get a bunch of kills to win here. Ben wasn’t included as he hasn’t looked all that great thus far, but he could be paired with Mystic if you need the salary relief.
WE(-476) V RW(+319) (5 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||34:09||28:36|
Coming into today, this seemed like a very one-sided matchup, but Rogue Warriors have decided to shake things up and are looking to turn their season around before it’s too late. Haro makes his return to the starting lineup after subbing in for Game 2 vs Suning where he ended up leading the team in assists for the series despite only playing one game. Haro was maybe the best player on this team in Spring and his return to the lineup should be a big boost. Ley was also taken out of the lineup in favor of their Academy Support, xunyu, which may seem like a downgrade, but Ley was playing absolutely terribly and has been statistically the worst Support in the LPL this split. Team WE is definitely still favored to win this series, but RW should be able to put up a fight and could even shock people in Haro’s return.
WE Top Picks:
Team WE has looked good to start this split, but not completely unbeatable and RW may be able to contend with them here. These players love to fight so they are all in play, especially against another kill-happy team in RW. Rogue Warriors aren’t as appealing though since there is so much sub risk with this lineup. ZWuji is the only player that doesn’t have someone ready to replace him, but if you are playing these guys you are assuming they win and therefore won’t get subbed out. Seeing Haro lead the team in assists last series despite playing only 1 game should tell you pretty much all you need to know about this lineup. He was the main reason this team had a chance to win games last split and he will be the reason they win if they do pull off the upset. Ruby and ZWuji should benefit from having him in the jungle, and Holder may also but he hasn’t shown much promise so far. There is also the threat of Crazy coming in even if they win, since those 2 have been swapping games all split so you may want to look elsewhere for your top lane.
TES(-667) V EDG(+412) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||32:14||34:44|
Our biggest favorite of the slate is once again and for good reason. Top Esports is probably the best team in the world right now and EDG took a huge blow with Hope’s medical issues. BBD is coming in from their Academy team and he will have to face maybe the best ADC in the world in JackeyLove, and Scout, who hasn’t looked himself recently, gets to face maybe the best player in the world in knight. Yikes. It’s usually hard to trust huge favorites in LOL with all the variance we have seen, but TES should have no problems here unless they decide to play with their feet or something.
TES Top Picks:
Much like Team WE, everyone on this TES team is firmly in play and they will likely be the highest scorers today. Knight and JackeyLove make for great Captain plays if you can fit them in, while the rest of the lineup can fill out the rest of your spots. No one really jumps out on the side of EDG, as Scout,BBD, and Aodi are outclassed in their lanes and Jiejie will likely be subbed out for Junjia assuming they lose game 1. It’s hard to see anything but a TES win here.
DYN(-185) V HLE(+141) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||33:40||34:23|
Our final matchup looks to be the closest, as these teams match up well against each other and this sets up for a sort of lite version of our first LCK series. Much like T1, Team Dynamics should be able to win this game with their macro leading to lower scores than we would like, while HLE will need to kill their way to an upset. The DYN players should only be played if necessary for salary relief as they most likely will not score enough points even if they win. On the other side, HLE should put up big scores if they can upset, but they have swapped players out frequently and there is a good amount of risk here.
DYN Top Picks:
Rich and Kuzan are really the only standout players for DYN as no one here really scores all that well generally. The DYN team spot may actually be the best play from them since they are so cheap and will score around the same as the other winning teams assuming they also win. For HLE, Viper and Lehends are a great upset combo and should be among the top scorers if they can pull it off. It is still a tall task though since they haven’t been getting too much help from the rest of their team.
Overall Summary of Picks By Lane
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