06.27.20 CSGO Summit

This alte is interesting as we have a few solid teams but no true superstars going here. We therefore need to focus more on team success to predict which guys have the best opportunity. Game stacking can make sense in the closer series and there are opportunities where blowouts can happen but a lot of these teams are playing well and not looking to slow down. Good luck and game on.  

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

Fanduel Scoring

MVP – 1.5X Points (1)Player (4)Team (1)
Kills 3Kills 2Rounds Won 1
Deaths -1.5Deaths -1Rounds Lost -.5
Assists 1.5Assists 1Match Won 10
Headshots .3Headshots .2Team Sweep 10
Sweep Bonus 22.5Sweep Bonus 15

Fanduel has 6 slots for a captain, 4 standard players, and a team. The captain position does not affect a player’s salary like it does on Draftkings. This is particularly advantageous for when you have an inkling that a superstar will put up a large performance but you don’t want to limit your options elsewhere. The team slot will be a lot of fun for those situations where you like a team to win but don’t like the fantasy prospects of any particular players so you can still get some exposure. We figure most users will try to pick the cheapest winning team because a lot of the stats you get points for are hard to predict, but a winning team should definitely fare better.

Our top plays are designed to show the most playable options on each team, factoring in performance and price. The top 2 plays on each team will be in our player pool and the third tier top plays are people we will sprinkle in a bit along with the core group. All of the statistics shown are for the last 3 months to see who has been performing well recently while still keeping a significant sample size. 

NIP(-182) V Heroic(+138) (12:00 PM EST)

NiP:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
nawwk7,6001.130.7373.90%1.07
Plopski7,4001.10.7072.30%1.09
twist7,2001.030.6269.40%1.04
REZ6,8001.080.6871.50%1.1
hampus5,2000.980.6467.50%0.98

NIP looks to be in good shape but they do struggle on a few maps that Heroic thrives on. This looks like a 3 game series and they have to not slip up on their own map selection but as long as there are no blemishes there, a win should be in the cards. 

Top Plays:

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Heroic:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
stavn8,0001.190.7673.50%1.15
niko6,6001.130.7271.00%1.15
b0RUP6,6001.060.6573.20%1
TeSeS6,2001.120.7172.50%1.13
cadiaN5,8001.060.6669.50%1.04

These guys have been playing well and their map pool sets them up for an opportunity here to steal a win as the underdog. They have a few key players to target here and may be an opportunity to look at a cheaper one off. 

Top plays:

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BIG(-278) V OG(+203) (12:00 PM EST)

BIG:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
syrsoN8,6001.240.7773.10%1.32
tabseN7,8001.190.7572.80%1.2
XANTARES7,2001.220.7874.00%1.2
k1to6,2001.060.6671.80%1.03
tiziaN6,0001.070.6273.20%0.94

These guys have been the BIG dog of the yard recently and have taken down top tier competition with often little pushback. When syrsoN and tabseN are on point, this team is really scary. OG lacks the starpower to handle a team like this but they’ve been on a nice run themselves and could surprise. 

Top Plays:

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OG:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
mantuu7,4001.130.7272.70%1.07
valde7,0001.070.6872.60%1.01
Aleksib6,0000.950.5768.40%0.92
NBK-5,6001.010.6667.80%1.03
ISSAA5,4001.030.6569.90%0.99

The talent disparity is wide and the map pool just does not look good for these guys. They will have to beat BIG at their own game to even breath in this server and we don’t see it happening. Play these guys as contrarian only, there are better places to look. 

Top plays:

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Liquid(-125) V EG(-104) (3:00 PM EST)

TL:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
EliGE8,4001.20.7770.30%1.34
NAF8,0001.170.7372.30%1.14
Twistzz6,8001.060.6772.20%0.98
Stewie2K6,4000.990.6369.70%1.01
nitr05,6000.920.5770.40%0.79

 Liquid has mostly had EG’s number until they were upset in their last faceoff. Whether they win or lose, a few Liquid guys can be expected to do well for fantasy purposes. Even in their loss to EG last week, EliGE and Twistzz went positive with better fantasy scores than a lot of EG guys.  

Top Plays:

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EG:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
CeRq7,2001.120.7171.00%1.16
Brehze7,0001.10.7371.60%1.04
Ethan6,8001.070.6772.20%1.09
tarik6,00010.6569.00%0.98
stanislaw5,4000.950.5768.80%0.84

EG beat Liquid last time and have played them okay in their losses as well. These guys probably have lower upsides across the board than their counterparts, but a well fought series will produce viable fantasy options. 

Top plays:

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100 Thieves(-125) V Cloud9(-104) (6:00 PM EST)

100T:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
jks7,8001.170.7375.20%1.13
Gratisfaction7,0001.090.6970.80%1.14
jkaem6,6001.120.7272.50%1.18
AZR6,4001.020.6471.50%0.94
Liazz5,8001.050.6173.40%0.95

These guys have had C9’s number for most of the year and their only loss was a 16-14 BO1 at the beginning of June. This should be a close series with a slight advantage in 100T’s favor so look for who should be at the top of the leaderboard here. 

Top Plays:

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C9:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
oSee8,2001.140.7272.40%1.1
floppy7,6001.170.7673.30%1.19
motm6,4001.030.6871.00%0.95
Sonic6,2001.020.6471.20%0.98
JT5,2000.880.5469.40%0.76

Cloud9’s recent form has been really good and they should make this a great series to watch. We already said it should be close and with that in mind, 1 or 2 guys here to go along with 1 or 2 100T guys is not entirely out of the question. Look for their top guys to continue rolling, given their excellent recent form. 

Top plays:

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Thank you for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask us any questions you have about the slate in the premium member discord!

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