Unfortunately for those with contrarian lineups, ES didn’t work out too well. It was worth a try but FPX is just too damn good. Still, let’s give some credit to the LCK teams here. GEN and DWG both saw some nice returns with Ruler topping the charts as ADC while ShowMaker fell 2 points short from being the highest ranking mid of the slate. Definitely exciting when the LCK comes to play, and we’ll get to see if that trend continues into this slate.
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|Creep Score||+0.02 Pts|
|10+ K/A Bonus||+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)|
|Statistic||Fantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values|
|First Blood||+2 Pts|
|Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus||+2 Pts|
DRX(-400) V AF(+277) (4 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||32:09||34:03|
This is sure to be an interesting matchup, even if DRX is favored. It wouldn’t surprise us too much if AF took a game and prevented the bonus for games not played from coming into effect. AF has been pretty solid so far, and they could even pull out the upset, but don’t get carried away. DRX is a powerhouse and can pull off a solid victory against AF here. The one thing that worries us is their dropping a game against SB; that’s not a good look and their inability to pull off the 2-0 so far hurts their chances for outperforming the other matchups.
DRX Top Picks:
Aside from Pyosik, DRX is an affordable favorite in this slate. FD has them priced slightly more, but they’re still not the most expensive of the slate. Given the overall nature of this matchup, this could be a blessing in disguise… if the DRX lineup can make it a worthwhile investment. We’ve seen LCK players perform very well in recent times, and there are some players on DRX who can pull it off. Chovy and Deft are good picks, but be careful; their scores haven’t been spectacular in these games, even against SB. The rest could be worthwhile investments, especially with how strong Pyosik has been lately. He’s favored the aggressive junglers having only played Lee Sin, Olaf, and Nidalee so far in the season. Doran is in a similar position, although he had a few Ornn games against T1; still, this is AF and we’re more likely to see a few damage dealing picks in the top lane.
LNG(+107) V VG(-139) (5 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||33:30||31:50|
This is a pretty strange matchup we have here, given how poor both of these teams have been performing. LNG’s score has been padded after some awful matches by FPX and RNG, and VG only managed to take down BLG at the beginning of the split. Given some advantages in the LNG roster, we’re inclined to go with LNG here.. As with ES vs FPX, we could see some incredible stats from the winning team, except this time the upset is an incredibly real possibility.
LNG Top Picks
When LNG plays well, they’ve walked away with some phenomenal stats, making them tempting picks here. The best part: LNG’s roster is pretty cheap all things considered. This might be a golden opportunity, although it remains to be seen how many people are going to be avoiding this LPL lineup. It’s still well established that the LPL teams are more conducive towards a cashing DFS lineup.
Interestingly enough, VG’s players are more expensive on FD, so you’ll have an even easier time grabbing your favorite LNG picks. VG’s roster changes are sure to have contributed to some of this confusion, but so far Leyan has been weaker than Aix in the jungle (which is definitely surprising.) So for right now, you’ve got some pretty good options for LNG. If you like VG instead, there aren’t as many ideal picks, although you could give Zeka a try against Maple.
JDG(-833) V RW(+481) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||30:59||30:48|
This matchup seems pretty straightforward, so we’ll try to determine whether or not JDG will drop a game. SN vs DMO was another straightforward matchup, and they were the only team to reach 3 games in yesterday’s slate. JDG is definitely a more solid team overall than SN, and RW has looked horrible recently, but there’s a slightly new development that might throw a wrench in their plans.
JDG Top Picks:
Haro’s back!!! We saw him against SN and WE not too long ago, so this isn’t his first appearance or anything, but we never really gave him a proper welcome back. He is definitely the most exciting part of RW’s lineup and could lead to giving JDG some trouble. Kanavi is a solid jungler, but he’s still looking a bit rough at times and is incredibly expensive. A jungler with that low of a KP% is definitely not ideal. That being said, Zoom has the opportunity to shine in this game, and JDG’s bot lane has been more consistent overall in these games. We don’t expect Haro to single handedly bring RW to a 2-0 victory, but the 1-2 could be enough to drag JDG’s scores below what is expected from them in this matchup. Seeing the most favored and expensive LPL team fall short of greatness would make for an interesting slate to be sure.
Still, this is no guarantee; it’s entirely possible Haro will even disappoint this series. Kanavi could ride his strong DMO performances into this matchup and keep RW in dead last. Either way, the picks for JDG are solid; it’s just a matter of whether they’ll be on top, and whether or not it’s worth including some of their other key players. With some of the other matchups here, we’re not too sure it is.
T1(-1000) V SB(+541) (7 AM EST)
|Avg. Game Length||31:57||29:25|
Nobody expects SB to win this series. Odds are they’ll get 2-0’d, although it’s possible T1 will use this as a chance to experiment and could throw a game like they did during the MSC. What makes this a bit riskier is T1’s expensive lineup. They are on par with JDG on both platforms and will be difficult to work around. It’s not like T1 has never scored well in a victory, but they have a history of objective based play that results in a weak scoreboard. As a LoL player, this is still very interesting to watch given the subtle nuances and decisions going into their strategies, but it doesn’t really help us for DFS. We sincerely believe understanding proper LoL gameplay leads to success in the DFS arena, and perhaps T1 would be an interesting case study for the future?
T1 Top Picks:
An SB victory is just so unlikely, it’s difficult to justify adding anyone on their roster. Meanwhile, T1 has decent options, although we still don’t know if the cost will be worth the reward. Keep an eye out for the starting lineup on twitter; Ellim played last but it could be back to Cuzz for this slate, so we’re leaving the jungle out altogether. These T1 picks are sure to serve your lineup well, and feel free to grab all four if you really like the T1 lineup. Still, we’re not too sure that’s the way to go. There are sure to be a lot of people trying to stack JDG and T1, probably including players from multiple matchups in the slates in order to save salary, and the logic behind this strategy is sound. However, There’s simply not enough guarantee for the payoff to be huge in this scenario. Grabbing some more of the cheaper players could actually be the way to go here.
Overall Summary of Picks By Lane
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