07.11.20 LOL LPL/LCK Slate

Some more strange games in our last slate, and it might not stop anytime soon. At the very least, it’s conceivable these 4 matchups will be closer than we’re used to seeing right away. There’s usually one matchup that’s pretty straightforward going in, but we don’t really see this here (our last LCK matchup might not be quite as unpredictable, but still.) That’s not to say every matchup will be a nailbiter; there’s definitely possibilities for some one-sided games. However, this is going to be an exciting slate going in, so get ready for anything. 

Players

StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+3 Pts
Assists+2 Pts
Deaths-1 Pt
Creep Score+0.02 Pts
10+ K/A Bonus+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)
Games not Played Bonus+20 per Game not Played

Teams

StatisticFantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Turrets+1 Pt
Dragons+2 Pts
Barons+3 Pts
First Blood+2 Pts
Win+2 Pts
Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus+2 Pts
Games not Played Bonus+15 per Game not Played

DRX(-105) V DWG(-123)  (4 AM EST)

StatsDRXDWG
W/L13/213/5
Avg. Game Length28:4332:07
Dragons/Game2.202.72
Barons/Game.60.89
Heralds/Game1.53.89
Turrets/Game8.47.5
K+D/Game24.322.4

Matchup Analysis

We’re right out of the gate, and it’s the 2 top LCK teams going against each other. There are some insane matchups in this slate, but this is probably going to be the most exciting. Anything could happen, and it’s worth noting DWG has played rather well against stronger teams like T1 and GEN. They’ve yet to take on DRX, but their performances this split have been something else. If you really want to mix things up, go all in on one of these teams.  

DRXKP%KDACS/M
Doran54.2%2.58.8
Pyosik75.9%4.55.7
Chovy72.3%69.3
Deft73%5.711.1
Keria70.3%51.2
DWGKP%KDACS/M
Nuguri54.1%3.49.1
Canyon64.1%8.15.7
ShowMaker71%16.98.8
Ghost61.3%5.59.4
BeryL61.5%5.62.1

DRX Top Picks:

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DWG Top Picks:

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One of the great things about this matchup would be the costs. Even if you go with the favorites (DRX) you’re saving more money than you would on a TES or AF player. You can expect some great games here as well, particularly out of DWG if they are successful. This in combination with their lower salaries makes their picks especially appealing. You can’t go wrong with their roster, but we’ll go ahead and recognize ShowMaker given his record this split.

The main issue with this matchup is the uncertainty, something this game will see more than the others. If they don’t score as well as some other teams (which is entirely possible) then either team will sink your lineup and do irreparable damage to your chances of cashing. The safer bet would be to grab a few picks from your favored team and go from there. 

DMO(-119) V RW(-109)  (5 AM EST)

StatsDMORW
W/L5/163/16
Avg. Game Length30:4132:44
Dragons/Game1.861.68
Barons/Game.50.32
Heralds/Game.671.05
Turrets/Game3.84.2
K+D/Game25.730.7

Matchup Analysis

Well, it’s LPL’s worst going head to head. It’s hard to justify going too far in this matchup, though there are some appealing picks on RW’s side that make it a potentially good game. Still, given both teams are fairly abysmal so far as well as the strengths of the other matchups, this might be the strongest LPL fade we’ve seen yet. 

DMOKP%KDACS/M
Chelizi61.7%2.77.8
Xiaopeng74.7%25.6
Twila57.6%1.78.3
Xubin61%3.19.2
Yui69.3%3.3.7
RWKP%KDACS/M
Holder57.1%1.78.1
Haro72.5%2.85.7
Ruby72.8%2.68
ZWuJi63.6%2.49.5
Ley64.4%2.2.9

DMO Top Picks

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RW Top Picks

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Not a huge fan of the picks in this matchup individually either. Haro stands out as the greatest choice on both sides, though you aren’t going to get much out of him if his team falls apart. At least with DMO, you have a greater team strength overall (if that even makes sense given how often they lose) and players like Chelizi can perform when winning. Either way, we wouldn’t go over 2 picks for this matchup; also, don’t forget the team slots. They could still be worthwhile in this matchup and would help save some salary. The players are still less expensive than those on AF and TES, so that could leave you some wiggle room elsewhere.

TES(-256) V FPX(+189)  (7 AM EST)

StatsTESFPX
W/L14/213/9
Avg. Game Length31:1031:13
Dragons/Game2.882.59
Barons/Game.94.59
Heralds/Game1.061.05
Turrets/Game8.96.3
K+D/Game27.725.9

Matchup Analysis

Even against a team like FPX, TES looks great here. However, what we said in the introduction still holds true; this slate looks very close going in. You never know when a team like FPX will pull through with a victory against one of the strongest teams in the world. One thing’s for sure: whoever wins will likely top the charts during this slate, or at least match the other teams. 

TESKP%KDACS/M
36955.4%4.98.5
Karsa68.7%6.15.5
Knight81.1%9.67.8
JackeyLove74.5%5.79.9
yuyanjia69.1%5.8.6
FPXKP%KDACS/M
Khan59.5%47.3
Tian74.4%4.75.3
Doinb77%4.58.6
Lwx70.3%4.59.4
Crisp65.2%3.41.1

TES Top Picks:

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FPX Top Picks:

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With TES, you generally want to save your salary for the carries given how strong they both are. 369 and Karsa aren’t bad picks, but you generally don’t want to sacrifice Knight, JackeyLove, or both of them for the top and jungler on this team (99.9% of the time it’s impossible to get all 4 without throwing a few roles away.) At any rate, there’s not much else to say about these choices. 

Don’t completely rule out the FPX side of things either. These picks are all great choices, and we’ve included 4 simply because of how cheap their lineup is this time around. TES is quite the hurdle to overcome, but we’ve seen these players do very well in the past and a victory here would likely result in some fantastic scores. In other words, this is the contrarian dream right here. 

AF(+357) V SP(+252)  (7 AM EST)

StatsAFSP
W/L9/73/13
Avg. Game Length33:0129:44
Dragons/Game2.631.50
Barons/Game.44.44
Heralds/Game.75.81
Turrets/Game5.23.3
K+D/Game22.324.1

Matchup Analysis

This is probably the most predictable matchup of the slate, though it’s nowhere near a lock. AF has been doing better for themselves recently, and they seem to shine against some of the weaker teams in the LCK. Meanwhile, SP’s name change seems to have done nothing good for their gameplay, so it’s easy to go for AF here. This helps explain why AF’s players are so expensive this slate, which might actually mean taking players from the other matchups instead. Still, you’re likely to have the most solid choices in AF’s players, so take that as you will. 

AFKP%KDACS/M
Kiin57%3.48.7
Spirit65.7%3.55.4
Fly66.5%4.68.7
Mystic72.9%4.910.1
Ben72.3%3.96.7
SPKP%KDACS/M
Ikssu56.8%1.18.7
Flawless65.1%1.55.4
Mickey66.2%1.88.7
HyBrid55.9%1.89.6
Secret68.7%2.11

AF Top Picks:

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SP Top Picks:

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One thing to note about AF: their picks might not yield the best results even under winning circumstances. Mystic has been pretty solid, but we’ve seen players like Spirit consistently score well in assists. This could be good for points, but given how expensive Spirit is this slate, it might not be all that worth it (DK has him priced 3rd highest and he isn’t too far apart from DMO or TES, so you have more leeway on that site.) Still, the possibility of Kiin and Mystic playing well is fairly strong, so these players might not be bad investments regardless. At the very least, you have some secured points in a slate riddled with uncertainty. 

Others might not quite agree with that last statement, as there are sure to be plenty of people who believe TES is a lock. We love their potential if they beat FPX, but if there was ever a time for TES to drop a series it’s here. So the solidity of the AF matchup might be something you want within your lineup.

Overall Summary of Picks By Lane

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Thanks for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask any questions you may have in the premium member discord. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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