07.12.20 LOL LPL/LCK Slate

TES and AF did pretty well, but holy crap did Haro deliver. Quite frankly, RW was the team you wanted that split, which is honestly a bit surprising given how awful they’ve been overall. Sure they were up against DMO, but you don’t usually see this level of bloodshed in a matchup between 2 bad teams. Granted, the DMO did alright on kills as well, but the deaths on RW’s side don’t matter too much when you see just how high they scored on kills and assists. Now it’s time to see if there are any potential opportunities for this number of kills in the slate for tomorrow, so let’s get into it!

Players

StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+3 Pts
Assists+2 Pts
Deaths-1 Pt
Creep Score+0.02 Pts
10+ K/A Bonus+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)
Games not Played Bonus+20 per Game not Played

Teams

StatisticFantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Turrets+1 Pt
Dragons+2 Pts
Barons+3 Pts
First Blood+2 Pts
Win+2 Pts
Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus+2 Pts
Games not Played Bonus+15 per Game not Played

DYN(+360) V T1(-556)  (4 AM EST)

StatsDYNT1
W/L8/911/6
Avg. Game Length32:3233:05
Dragons/Game2.532.71
Barons/Game.65.76 
Heralds/Game1.00.88
Turrets/Game5.47.1
K+D/Game22.221.7

Matchup Analysis

This one seems pretty straightforward, but beware of the T1 curse. Okay, maybe it’s not really a curse, but T1 has been known not to score as well in these kinds of games (Teddy is the most consistent exception to this rule.) Still, if you need a team spot and have some salary to spare, you can’t go wrong with T1 here… assuming DYN doesn’t surprise. This team has been performing better than expected given they just arrived from the CK, so who knows if they have some strange tricks up their sleeve to deal with the Spring Split Champions. Bear in mind, however, they’ve only managed to win against HLE and SP since the KT upset at the beginning of the split. That’s not the greatest look. 

At any rate, the other matchups seem more promising overall in terms of kills, so you might be better off avoiding this one for the most part. Still, after looking at the picks, there are some appealing choices on T1’s side. 

DYNKP%KDACS/M
Rich68.9%2.78.8
Beyond68.7%3.25.7
Kuzan66.3%4.19.3
deokdam59.8%3.311.1
GuGer62.7%2.81.2
T1KP%KDACS/M
Canna59.3%69.1
Cuzz70.7%5.25.7
Faker68.9%5.58.8
Teddy69.1%8.79.4
Effort70.1%3.71.6

DYN Top Picks:

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T1 Top Picks:

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Top lane is one of those times we prioritize based on the matchup, given how strong Canna is versus a player like Rich. It doesn’t seem all that unrealistic to expect Canna to demolish this Aatrox one trick. Yeah, he hasn’t played Aatrox too often lately, and look where it’s gotten him. Faker and especially Teddy are natural choices as well, though you’ll have to be careful with salary (not so much with Faker as with Teddy.) We’ll throw in Beyond as one of the choices aside from the ADC, assuming you’re going for the contrarian lineup, although the picks on their side don’t look as tempting in a game that isn’t too promising to begin with.  

OMG(+163) V LGD(-217)  (5 AM EST)

StatsOMGLGD
W/L9/119/9
Avg. Game Length32:5532:10
Dragons/Game2.302.22
Barons/Game.60.61
Heralds/Game1.00.94
Turrets/Game5.56.1
K+D/Game27.622.7

Matchup Analysis

OMG tends to score fairly well when winning, but they don’t really win all that often against decent teams. So far, they’ve only taken down DMO, LNG, and RW. They even lost to BLG, so take that as you will. They aren’t exactly hopeless against LGD, but we’re more likely to see fantastic performances out of the LGD players. If you do like the upset, OMG’s odds of scoring well are fairly high, so it’s not the worst lineup in the world; it just doesn’t seem as likely, even if LGD is currently  9/9. 

OMGKP%KDACS/M
Curse64%2.37.8
H4cker63.9%2.55.6
icon69.5%3.88.3
SmLz67.6%2.59.2
cold65%2.7.7
LGDKP%KDACS/M
Langx60.3%2.78.1
Peanut76.6%4.55.7
xiye67.4%48
Kramer70.8%5.59.5
Mark68.3%3.3.9

OMG Top Picks

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LGD Top Picks

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There are a lot of picks on LGD’s side, and they’re worth picking up if you can afford it. Players like Peanut and Kramer are going to be very expensive, but try to prioritize them if you can’t or won’t fit 4 LGD players into your lineup. It’s worth noting they aren’t the only ones guaranteed to succeed; we saw 369 and Karsa do extremely well alongside their teammates in the previous slate, so LGD’s ability to win could carry the entire roster to fantastic scores. Still, Peanut and Kramer usually run the show, so they are great options. 

Meanwhile, OMG has some strength in the mid lane, especially since xiye hasn’t been LGD’s strongest point throughout the split. We like these picks in the event of a victory, but as always, we’re not too big on OMG overall. 

EDG(+100) V RNG(-130)  (7 AM EST)

StatsEDGRNG
W/L9/1110/10
Avg. Game Length34:2932:21
Dragons/Game2.202.20
Barons/Game.75.60
Heralds/Game1.10.85
Turrets/Game6.05.7
K+D/Game27.822.4

Matchup Analysis

Let’s be honest. Losing 0-2 to DMO is just plain scary. Still, other than that blip, EDG has lost to some pretty respectable teams. The only issue here: despite some recent struggles, RNG could be considered one of those respectable teams. This is going to be a fairly unpredictable matchup, and it certainly doesn’t help that we’re seeing a number of potential subs after the first game. Let’s get into the player analysis to expand upon this. 

EDGKP%KDACS/M
XiaoxiangN/AN/AN/A
JunJia73.2%4.65.5
Scout77.4%4.27.8
Hope68.4%4.19.9
meiko64%3.2.6
RNGKP%KDACS/M
New47.7%2.97.3
XLB73.5%3.95.3
xiaohu68.9%4.98.6
GALA73.7%5.19.4
Ming67.1%3.11.1

EDG Top Picks:

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RNG Top Picks:

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We never thought we’d put New as a pick going into EDG, but Aodi won’t be starting. Even if he was, a strong RNG could mean success for New throughout the games; laning phase won’t be as much of a factor here, though Xiaoxiang starting could be a blessing for New. We love the EDG junglers, but who knows if Jiejie will be swapped in for literally 0 discernable reason; it’s happened before. You really want to take a risk? Pick JunJia or Jiejie. We’ve included the rest of the team on EDG’s side since they’re a strong team despite the DMO issues (we also didn’t have Hope for that series, so there’s that.) 

RNG has some great chances, although we are a bit worried about subs on the bot lane side of things. GALA has only played one series against FPX, but it was the most recent and we could see him subbed out if EDG comes out swinging. Another tough choice due to the circumstances of the lineups and the matchup in general. Still, the payoffs could be huge in this matchup; that’s what makes it so interesting. Even xiaohu could be subbed out, although that’s not as likely. XLB is one of the more solid picks for this team, and he was a huge part of their success early on… plus he has the added benefit of being the only jungler for his team!

HLE(+619) V GEN(-1250)  (7 AM EST)

StatsHLEGEN
W/L2/1411/6
Avg. Game Length33:0431:16
Dragons/Game1.883.18
Barons/Game.19.71
Heralds/Game.501.47
Turrets/Game2.37.2
K+D/Game23.523.4

Matchup Analysis

Poor Viper… he’s likely to end this series with a few deaths and a respectable amount of kills/assists, yet it won’t make him a worthy pick. GEN is far too strong a team for HLE to conquer unless they change things up, but of course, always leave the upset open. In this case, an HLE victory means Viper will absolutely dominate this slate… it’s just so unlikely. 

HLEKP%KDACS/M
DuDu50.7%1.38.7
CAD79.2%1.65.4
Lava65%28.7
Viper73.1%3.410.1
Lehends70.2%2.36.7
GENKP%KDACS/M
Rascal65.2%3.78.7
Clid65%4.25.4
Bdd58.1%5.98.7
Ruler56.5%5.39.6
Life60.8%3.61

HLE Top Picks:

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GEN Top Picks:

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Okay, it might seem like we really want Viper here. Yes, his chances are great if they win, but don’t mistake our enthusiasm for certainty. It’s like waiting for ES to take a game; if it happens it’ll be huge, but we aren’t really holding our breath. Still, we want to make you aware of all possibilities with even a remote chance of success.  

At any rate, the GEN lineup is fantastic, but you’ll have some issues with salary. Since this is probably the safest matchup of the slate, GEN’s players are naturally expensive. Bdd is a potential spot, but we’re a bit worried about him being the most expensive mid laner when there are some other great choices for less salary. As for the picks, you can’t go wrong with them, but be prepared to make some sacrifices elsewhere. Definitely don’t expect to run a Teddy or Kramer as captain if you have mostly GEN players, but if you’re going for a different angle you can make something solid work. 

Overall Summary of Picks By Lane

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Thanks for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask any questions you may have in the premium member discord. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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