07.13.20 CSGO DK Nine to Five

We finally have a 4 game slate again with some 3 game series. These aren’t the best teams around but it’s finally a set that is playable for DFS. Most of this slate looks like they will be close games and chalk might be spread around decently for fun contests. Let’s get back at it here as we continue to await the big teams’ returns in August. Good luck and game on. 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

AVEZ(-189) V Wisla Krakow(+143) (3:00 AM EST)


AVEZ:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Kei7,8001.170.7870.90%1.24
Marko?7,4001.080.6971.00%1.05
byali7,0001.10.7172.10%1.03
Kylar6,8001.070.7069.60%1.11
nawrot6,2000.920.6065.80%0.89

This slate kicks off with a close looking matchup that favors AVEZ. These guys have played each other closely in the past and another 2-1 series in AVEZ’s advantage looks likely. We are not too keen on any of these guys in particular as it seems like team success will likely come without the consummate individual performances.   

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WK:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
hades8,6001.160.7972.20%1.15
jedqr7,6001.070.6871.80%1.06
mynio6,6001.050.6968.50%1.05
SZPERO5,80010.6468.10%0.89
fanatyk5,2000.890.56669.00%0.75

Wisla has a shot to win this and they have a few intriguing players. They should see 2 guys go positive or even 3 if they upset but there likely won’t be any massive scores here. There are a lot of close looking matchups on this slate so you really have to pick your spots and look for hard carries. 

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CR4ZY(+138) V AGF(-182) (3:00 AM EST)

CZY:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
SENSEi8,8001.150.7271.60%1.12
Sergiz7,8001.120.7170.60%1.11
DemQQ6,0001.090.7069.10%1.14
Psycho5,2000.930.6067.50%0.87
7oX1C5,0000.920.5966.70%0.83

This is another impossibly close series and is basically a toss-up. Both teams have looked uninspiring recently and the map pool is slightly in AGF’s favor but not enough to skew the series. We like both of the most expensive guys here but if we had to pick, we’re happy to pay down for the same upside. 

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AGF:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
TMB9,0001.140.7468.90%1.3
fr0slev8,0001.120.7372.90%1.08
Daffu7,2001.030.6472.40%0.96
Lukki6,8001.010.6570.30%0.95
Kristou5,4000.910.5965.60%0.87

AGF has a very similar team comp to their opponent and we are also targeting their top 2 guys. There is also a risky value play here if you need to save some money. He should be able to do well if they win but can also have a poor performance, high risk, high reward. 

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Syman(-175) V Illuminar(+134) (6:00 AM EST)

SYM:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Keoz8,2000.990.6766.50%1
mou7,4001.070.7068.10%1.11
n0rb3r77,2001.030.6967.00%1.05
neaLaN6,4000.960.6466.30%0.98
kade05,8000.910.6064.50%0.87

Syman is truly the better team here on paper and is one of our favorite teams to target on this slate. This team has stacking potential and is in one of the better spots to pull off a sweep. We could see a 3 man stack being possible with upside feeling limited in a lot of the other spots. This is far from a sure thing but this team has as much upside as any on this slate. 

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ILL:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Innocent8,4001.080.6969.70%1.07
Snax7,6001.060.6969.20%1.07
reatz6,6001.030.6770.70%1
Vegi5,6001.040.6969.00%1.06
mouz5,0000.960.6369.00%0.87

This team will need big performances from Snax and Innocent in order to win it. They face a tough task but they are solid players and will be the difference in this series. As they go, so will Illuminar. If you build around their win, we wouldn’t go past them and playing one or the other with a guy or 2 on the other side isn’t a totally crazy thought if this is hard fought with a stars and scrubs breakdown in the scoreboard. 

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SG.pro(+225) V ALTERNATE aTTaX(-312) (6:00 AM EST)

SG:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Innocent8,4001.080.6969.70%1.07
Snax7,6001.060.6969.20%1.07
reatz6,6001.030.6770.70%1
Vegi5,6001.040.6969.00%1.06
mouz5,0000.960.6369.00%0.87

These guys are the biggest underdog on the slate but already beat this opponent recently 2-1. They looked really good there and we should see an opportunity for guys here to succeed despite what the betting odds look like. 

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AAT:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
kressy9,2001.160.7673.00%1.2
stfn8,2001.120.6974.80%1.07
slaxz-7,0001.150.7173.20%1.13
ScrunK6,4001.010.6470.40%1.02
mirbit5,6001.110.6874.10%1.03

We don’t really know why kressy is the most expensive guy on the team when he hasn’t been one of their top players at all. Skip him and look down where we see a lot of great options. This team should be chalky but be weary, this should be close and could be a b  ig upset, your hope is that the top frags go off no matter what. 

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