07.14.20 CSGO DK Nine to Five

Today should be really chalky at the top and a question mark beyond that. Gambit should rule the slate and every other match has potential to be pretty close. We don’t think it’s smart to fade Gambit today but eat that chalk and look for the top stacks beyond that to succeed. Good luck today and as always, premium members can ask any questions about this slate or others we aren’t writing articles for in our discord! Game on. 

Draftkings’ scoring follows the chart shown below, with a focus on K/D and clutch plays. Rosters are set with a Captain position who receives 1.5x his points at 1.5x his salary, but beyond that it is positionless. This is important to understand because CS teams follow a composition of different roles such as IGL (In game leader), entry fragger, support, etc. With Draftkings making no distinction between players, it is left to you to decide which roles are most important within this scoring system and to take advantage of that. For several teams for example, their IGL is not often going to score highly as they may be less skilled at the game but are valuable in ways that Draftkings doesn’t record. With that in mind, we will jump into a quick look at the roles of key players, their key stats, and how their perceived performance should fare in accordance with their salary. 

Players
StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+1.5 Pts
Assists+1 Pt
Deaths-1 Pt
Entry Kill (First Kill of the round)+0.5 Pts
1v2 Clutch+1 Pt
1v3 Clutch+2 Pts
1v4 Clutch+3 Pts
1v5 Clutch+5 Pts
Quad Kill+3 Pts
Ace+5 Pts
Rounds Not Played Bonus +0.5 Pts per round not played
Match Sweep Bonus +5 Pts (minimum of 2 maps played)

AVEZ(-119) V Hard Legion(-109) (3:00 AM EST)


AVEZ:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Kei8,0001.180.7971.10%1.26
byali7,4001.090.7272.40%1.01
Marko?6,8001.070.6970.90%1.04
Kylar6,4001.060.6869.60%1.08
nawrot6,2000.920.6066.20%0.89

The first series is pretty much a toss-up and we are assuming it will be a close 2-1 series in either direction, leaving the cream to rise to the top on either side. We could see a few different combos that can work here. This team is a bit top heavy which is what we love to see for fantasy purposes. 

Top Plays:

This content is for members only.

HL:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Krad7,6001.120.7567.00%1.27
Forester7,2001.080.7268.70%1.11
rAge7,2001.050.6569.60%1
kinqie6,4000.960.6367.40%0.95
svyat5,6000.910.5668.60%0.78

Pricing for this team is low across the board, leaving some solid DFS potential if they prevail. We aren’t sure if playing more than one guy here will be the way to go and we are certainly against 3 or more. Krad seems to be the go to guy if you want exposure here, with the best upside of anyone on the team. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

Secret(-127) V AGF(-103) (3:00 AM EST)

SEC:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
MALI9,2001.320.9075.80%1.4
anarkez8,8001.090.7268.00%1.13
smF6,80010.6173.60%0.83
sinnopsyy6,4000.960.6465.10%1
PERCY5,2000.930.6064.70%0.88

Secret is in much better form recently while their opponent figures out some roster changes. They should be in a solid position to win but are not going to stomp a team like this. A sweep is certainly possible and we will likely avoid a guy like MALI until he finds a groove. 

Top Plays:

This content is for members only.

AGF:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
TMB8,6001.140.7468.80%1.3
fr0slev7,6001.130.7373.20%1.08
Lukki6,6001.020.6570.60%0.96
Daffu6,0001.040.6572.60%0.97
Kristou5,0000.920.5966.10%0.87

If AGT wants to win this series, they’ll need fr0slev to keep up his terrific recent play. TMB and Kristou have not been doing a whole lot recently and can safely be ignored until they get comfortable. The other 3 are reasonably playable if you believe in them winning today. Be careful stacking these close series though, they should be top heavy fro fantasy. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

Syman(+232) V Gambit Youngsters(-323) (6:00 AM EST)

SYM:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Keoz8,2001.010.6866.70%1.02
mou7,0001.070.7068.60%1.1
n0rb3r76,6001.030.6966.80%1.07
kade05,8000.910.6165.00%0.87
neaLaN5,4000.960.6366.80%0.97

Syman has already been swept by this team twice this month and we see no reason why it won’t happen again, avoid. 

Top Plays:

This content is for members only.

GY:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
sh1ro9,0001.260.7776.20%1.25
Ax1LE7,0001.20.7571.80%1.24
nafany6,8001.010.6469.50%1
supra6,00010.6269.10%0.99
interz5,6000.970.5771.80%0.81

These guys should stomp Syman again and the top guys here are likely the safest plays of the entire slate. They have both popped off against this team and another sweep or even a 2-1 series should provide ample opportunity for top tier scores. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

Endpoint(-115) V ALTERNATE aTTaX(-112) (6:00 AM EST)

EP:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
Thomas8,4001.130.7173.50%1.1
robiin7,8001.050.6671.30%1
CRUC1AL7,0001.150.7472.50%1.22
MiGHTYMAX5,8000.960.5770.90%0.85
Surreal5,2001.090.6971.60%1.13

Endpoint has lost to AAT twice recently, with each series being a 2-1 dog fight. CRUC1AL has easily been their best player in each series and needs to be the difference maker here. They have an uphill battle and likely shouldn’t be stacked but also don’t need to be avoided. 

Top Plays:

This content is for members only.

AAT:

PlayerDK SalaryRating 2.0Kills/RoundKASTImpact
kressy8,0001.180.7673.10%1.2
stfn7,4001.130.7075.00%1.08
slaxz-6,6001.140.7173.10%1.12
mirbit6,2001.120.6874.30%1.04
ScrunK5,40010.6369.90%1.02

AAT will be looking for their 3rd straight victory against Endpoint thanks to the great team play exhibited across the board. Nobody on this team is a hard carry or drag but stfn has thrived in particular. We like a few other options and this feels like a team that can be targeted for pairs but going for triplets may, again, be a stretch due to the tough matchup. 

Top plays:

This content is for members only.

Thank you for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask us any questions you have about the slate in the premium member discord!

Leave a Reply

%d bloggers like this: