07.14.20 LOL LPL Slate

It seems to be the week of upsets, with TES being the most surprising. Guess our theories on V5 proved to be somewhat true, although Biubiu rubbed it in by giving us his 2nd Kayle performance. Not to mention Mole was thrown on TF for 2 games, so he was basically benched from a fantasy point of view. 

If this trend of upsets were to continue into tomorrow’s slate, we’d have some very interesting matchups ahead of us. Let’s see what we’ve got to work with.

Players

StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+3 Pts
Assists+2 Pts
Deaths-1 Pt
Creep Score+0.02 Pts
10+ K/A Bonus+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)

Teams

StatisticFantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Turrets+1 Pt
Dragons+2 Pts
Barons+3 Pts
First Blood+2 Pts
Win+2 Pts
Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus+2 Pts

WE(-556) V LNG(+360)  (5 AM EST)

StatsWELNG
W/L15/95/15
Avg. Game Length34:0431:37
Dragons/Game2.832.10
Barons/Game.71.40
Heralds/Game1.00.95
Turrets/Game6.33.9
K+D/Game25.422

Matchup Analysis

Even though WE hasn’t been the most consistent team throughout the split, they’ve got a decent record, a decent lineup, and some pretty good chances here. An LNG upset would be rather surprising, and possibly not as ideal given how well WE tends to perform under the right conditions. You can’t completely write off LNG’s chances, especially with a player like Maple in the mix, but it doesn’t seem as worth it to go for the underdogs here.  

WEKP%KDACS/M
Morgan59.8%4.17.9
beishang74.5%5.35.6
Teacherma76.7%4.18.3
Jiumeng78.6%4.410.2
Missing73.4%2.81.2
LNGKP%KDACS/M
Flandre53.7%1.87.2
Xx76.8%2.74.8
Maple66.2%2.68.2
Light74.1%3.38.9
Iwandy71.7%.6.9

WE Top Picks:

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LNG Top Picks:

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Teacherma has been fairly valuable with his high assist counts, but you’ll likely want to save your salary here. It’s doubtful he’ll outperform the other mids substantially, even if they aren’t the strongest mid laners in the LPL. The WE picks are the most important to secure by far, and Morgan especially is one of the most appealing top laners in this slate. Maple is a great choice for LNG when they win, so keep him in your sights for the upset, but don’t get too excited. Teacherma might not be a kill heavy player, but that doesn’t mean you can roll over him for an easy game. 

LGD(-526) V RW(+345)  (7 AM EST)

StatsLGDRW
W/L11/105/17
Avg. Game Length32:5933:20
Dragons/Game2.331.82
Barons/Game.62.36
Heralds/Game1.001.00
Turrets/Game6.24.4
K+D/Game23.531.5

Matchup Analysis

This is the matchup with the more likely and more beneficial upset potential. We all saw what RW did to DMO. Yeah, it’s DMO, but if that’s what RW is capable of then it’s an attractive option. LGD will be tougher to overcome, and they’ve done pretty well for themselves considering they’ve beaten iG and V5. Anyone who can take down the infamous Ppgod is alright with us. So we aren’t too sure about RW’s chances either, but it’s not as useless as LNG against WE.

LGDKP%KDACS/M
Langx61%2.87.4
Peanut75.1%4.25.8
xiye68.5%4.18.1
Kramer68.3%4.89.5
Mark67.8%3.31.1
RWKP%KDACS/M
Holder58.5%27.4
Haro73.5%3.25.4
Wuming61.5%5.57.8
ZWuJi66%2.89.8
Ley66%2.51

LGD Top Picks:

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RW Top Picks:

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We’re not as heavy on the RW picks simply because their whole team isn’t as likely to follow in Haro’s success on the scoreboard against a stronger team like LGD. Still, if you really like the upset chances, feel free to grab more. However, there are some great choices on LGD’s side of things, so don’t be afraid to go with the grain here either. This might ultimately be the matchup to prioritize, although you’ll want to grab certain WE players regardless. If pricing is an issue, this could be another good double jungle slate, with beishang and Peanut/Haro. LGD’s bot lane is also incredibly appealing, and as long as xiye isn’t thrown on TF and forced to split, he could actually do well too. TF isn’t always a death sentence, but that kind of strategy is based on map control and doesn’t always leave room for a lot of kills after the initial early game ganks with his long range teleport. 

If you do go for RW, be a bit careful about Wuming. If they win he’ll likely stay in, making the investment worth it, but he could always be subbed out for Ruby. So he’s a bit more risky, but you’re going to need RW to win hard at any rate. 

Overall Summary of Picks By Lane

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Thanks for reading! For our premium members feel free to ask any questions you may have in the premium member discord. Follow us on twitter to stay up to date on all future posts. @GameOnDFS

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