07.17.20 LOL LPL/LCK Slate

Nothing too groundbreaking from the last slate, although RNG didn’t quite make the cut. SB managed to do very well, although dropping a game to SP meant they weren’t leading the slate in points by a considerable margin. It’ll be interesting to see if this slate works as predicted; there are some very interesting matchups to consider.

Players

StatisticFantasy Points*Players drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Kills+3 Pts
Assists+2 Pts
Deaths-1 Pt
Creep Score+0.02 Pts
10+ K/A Bonus+2 Pts (10 Kills or 10 Assists in a single game)
Games not Played Bonus+20 per Game not Played

Teams

StatisticFantasy Points*Teams drafted as Captain earn 1.5x fantasy point values
Turrets+1 Pt
Dragons+2 Pts
Barons+3 Pts
First Blood+2 Pts
Win+2 Pts
Win in Under 30 Minutes Bonus+2 Pts
Games not Played Bonus+15 per Game not Played

DRX(-1429) V HLE(+667)  (4 AM EST)

StatsDRXHLE
W/L15/62/16
Avg. Game Length32:0932:53
Dragons/Game2.571.89
Barons/Game.86.22
Heralds/Game.76.50
Turrets/Game7.02.4
K+D/Game23.524

Matchup Analysis

Probably the easiest matchup of the slate. It’s bad enough HLE has been miserable, but they have pretty huge sub risks for top, jungle, and mid. So the contrarian lineup isn’t even all that worth it, although Viper could be huge in that situation. Still, there’s such little payoff there, you’re better off going with the flow for this matchup. 

DRXKP%KDACS/M
Doran53.2%2.48.8
Pyosik74.7%4.25.7
Chovy72%5.69.3
Deft72.5%5.111.1
Keria71.8%4.71.2
HLEKP%KDACS/M
CuBee50.6%.89.1
Haru49.9%1.15.7
Mireu65.9%1.78.8
Viper72.1%3.19.4
Lehends71.8%2.31.6

DRX Top Picks:

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HLE Top Picks:

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Pretty straightforward picks here; you have no sub risk with HLE’s bot lane if you believe in the upset from the team that’s currently 2/16 (hey, they did take one of those games against T1.) Meanwhile you want a lot of DRX players given the higher chances of this being a dominant 2-0. There are 2 other matchups that look like 2-0s for the victors in this slate, but they aren’t as certain as this one. Some might disagree with that assessment given our first LPL matchup, but we’ll dig deeper right now. 

RW(+455) V FPX(-769)  (5 AM EST)

StatsRWFPX
W/L7/1713/11
Avg. Game Length33:3931:19
Dragons/Game1.962.63
Barons/Game.42.54
Heralds/Game1.041.08
Turrets/Game4.86.2
K+D/Game30.826.3

Matchup Analysis

It’s difficult to imagine RW winning this series given how strong FPX is as a team. RW has had some victories recently with strong showings out of the usual suspects, although Wuming has been part of that as well. This makes the prospect of a RW victory very enticing, as unlikely as it may seem. But you never know… this isn’t like the DRX/HLE matchup above. This team has signs of life, but remember: one of their strongest points is Haro, and he finds himself against one of the better junglers in the LPL.  

RWKP%KDACS/M
Holder59.2%2.17.8
Haro72.8%3.55.6
Wuming67.3%7.88.3
ZWuJi65.8%39.2
Ley67.5%2.8.7
FPXKP%KDACS/M
Khan59.3%3.88.1
Tian73.1%45.7
Doinb77.2%4.28
Lwx70.1%4.19.6
Crisp64.1%3.9

RW Top Picks

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FPX Top Picks

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There are decent picks on RW’s side for the upset, but be careful of Wuming. If RW loses Game 1 hard, there’s a strong chance he’ll be subbed out for Ruby. As is usually the case with these subs, picking Wuming means you need RW to win their first game. It’s possible RW will have faith in him and keep him in for the remainder of the series, but that will depend on his performance. Haro didn’t embarrass the other players in his slate with his scores against LGD, but he’s still a solid choice and can do well… but you’ll have to watch out for Tian. He’s a great jungler and will surely give him a run for his money. Khan hasn’t been the best choice, but we think he’ll bounce back a bit against Holder. Like a lot of other top laners out there, he’s been playing the aggressive type of champions that can pick up kills. He even played Quinn fairly recently against TES; it didn’t go so well but it’s a fantastic champion given Quinn’s incredible mobility to roam for ganks with her ultimate. 

EDG(+118) V LGD(-154)  (7 AM EST)

StatsEDGLGD
W/L9/1311/12
Avg. Game Length34:4433:20
Dragons/Game2.232.30
Barons/Game.68.57
Heralds/Game1.18.96
Turrets/Game6.06.4
K+D/Game27.723.5

Matchup Analysis

We have yet another close LPL matchup! These are definitely fun, although there are some advantages to picking EDG here. It’s a bit surprising they are trailing the scoreboard against LGD, but they’ve had some bad moments (2 of those losses were against WE at the very beginning of the split, and that whole series was just beyond strange.)  It’s also worth noting that EDG lost to some pretty respectable teams, aside from DMO (part of that was the lack of Hope. If you’re looking for a pun, we already did that in a past article.) 

EDGKP%KDACS/M
xiaoxiang61.6%2.56.7
JunJia71.8%4.35.5
Scout75.1%4.17.8
Hope67.3%49.9
Meiko64.7%3.6
LGDKP%KDACS/M
Langx61.9%2.57.3
Peanut73.3%3.95.3
xiye70.6%3.98.6
Kramer66.4%4.49.4
Mark65.2%31.1

EDG Top Picks:

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LGD Top Picks:

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This slate seems to be filled to the brim with fantastic LPL junglers. Even the subs are good options, although that makes picking lineups more difficult. Our biggest issue with JunJia is the risk of Jiejie being subbed in, but he’s fantastic on the Rift. Peanut is in a similar position, so you really can’t go wrong with the LPL junglers here. Honestly if you aren’t taking Pyosik or an LPL jungler you’re doing something wrong this slate. 

Xiaoxiang had some good games against RNG, but part of that can be attributed to New in the top lane. Langx won’t be as easy to walk over, but we could still see some great performances out of EDG’s latest top laner. Hope is always a solid choice; he has some of the best consistency throughout the LPL.Picks for LGD are fairly standard; we aren’t as big of a fan of the mid lane in this series, but don’t think you’re doing something wrong if you need to grab Scout or xiye to fill in the blanks. They aren’t bad players; we just think their teammates are more ideal. 

AF(+287) V DWG(-417)  (7 AM EST)

StatsAFDWG
W/L11/916/4
Avg. Game Length33:0329:05
Dragons/Game2.502.30
Barons/Game.50.70
Heralds/Game.801.55
Turrets/Game5.38.4
K+D/Game22.125.3

Matchup Analysis

Another solid matchup. Maybe not quite as solid as DRX/HLE, but DWG has been incredible for some time now. With only 4 games lost, all of those were part of series defeats. This means they haven’t gone to 3 games in a single series they ended up winning. That’s impressive. AF is a strong team to be sure, and it’s possible they’ll be the one to break this streak, but we don’t anticipate DWG losing. 

AFKP%KDACS/M
Kiin59%3.18.7
Spirit65.3%3.55.4
Fly68.2%4.18.7
Mystic72.9%4.510.1
Ben71.7%3.71.1
DWGKP%KDACS/M
Nuguri57.5%3.98.7
Canyon63.2%6.35.4
ShowMaker70.7%12.68.7
Ghost60.9%4.99.6
BeryL61.1%4.11

AF Top Picks:

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DWG Top Picks:

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ShowMaker is such an obvious choice. Expect high ownership. Consistently maintaining a KDA above 10 is quite the achievement in the LCK, even if you drop 2 series against 2 of the better teams in the region. They even managed to beat T1, so that’s something. They might not be guaranteed to win the summer split, but you can expect good things out of ShowMaker the vast majority of the time. We don’t usually include Nuguri due to salary, but there aren’t a lot of top laners we’re a fan of this slate so he’s worth the consideration (if you can afford him.) 

It doesn’t make much sense to grab any AF players here; if you like the upset, Mystic is the most important pick to grab. However, it’s a waste; the only real upset we like in this slate is RW given their recent success and their potential when winning. AF is a pretty strong team but we don’t see DWG cracking, so no reason to highlight their roster here. 

Overall Summary of Picks By Lane

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