7.26.20 MLB Main Slate

Sunday afternoon baseball is here and we all wish we could be at the ballpark but luckily we can gamble from home! This is a really nice slate with some good arms, trash cans, and a bunch of in between. It’s unfortunate that we don’t have any mega contests that make mass entering seem like a better idea (especially with 50% overlay) but playing a bunch of different slates throughout the day can be fun as well. Premium members are welcome to ask whatever they want in the discord as always (please refrain from existential questions) so please join today and hang out with us!

DraftKings uses this scoring:

Single+3 Pts
Double+5 Pts
Triple+8 Pts
Home Run+10 Pts
Run Batted In+2 Pts
Run+2 Pts
Base on Balls+2 Pts
Hit By Pitch+2 Pts
Stolen Base+5 Pts
Inning Pitched+2.25 Pts
Strikeout+2 Pts
Win+4 Pts
Earned Run Allowed-2 Pts
Hit Against-0.6 Pts
Base on Balls Against-0.6 Pts
Hit Batsman-0.6 Pts
Complete Game+2.5 Pts
Complete Game Shutout+2.5 Pts
No Hitter+5 Pts

Fanduel uses the following:

Single+3 Pts
Double+6 Pts
Triple+9 Pts
Home Run+12 Pts
Run Batted In+3.5 Pts
Run+3.2 Pts
Base on Balls+3 Pts
Hit By Pitch+3 Pts
Stolen Base+6 Pts
Inning Pitched+3 Pts
Strikeout+3 Pts
Win+6 Pts
Earned Run Allowed-3 Pts
Quality Start4 Pts

Marlins(+135) V Phillies(-155) 1:05 EST

Jose Urena$5,500$5,8005.211.48.376.312
Vince Velazquez$6,900$6,6004.911.39.344.349

Jose Urena is phenomenally mediocre. He particularly struggles with lefties and the Phillies have a few that can punish him. Didi Gregorious has looked good so far and this could be the game where Harper breaks out. 

Vince Velazquez has always had nasty strikeout stuff, combined with an ability to lose focus and implode. He has added some new pitches and earned enough trust to be back in the rotation here. He is cheap enough to use as a high risk option with lots of upside. If his pitches are breaking, he can have enough strikeouts to offset a few runs. 

Yankees(-) V Nationals(-) 1:05 EST

Chad Green$4,600$5,5004.171.23.307.314
Patrick Corbin$10,400$9,4003.

Chad Green is just operating as a starter for this team, he is not fantasy relevant. Tha Yankees bullpen should be somewhat taxed after yesterday’s trash can performance from Paxton so keep that in mind. The Nats offense has potential here and the Yankees might be forced to give some longer leashes to guys in order to keep the bullpen from being depleted. 

Patrick Corbin is a very good major league pitcher. The problem here is he is a lefty, facing a scary right handed lineup. He is always worth a look on big slates due to his talent but this matchup is one to shy away from. Stanton and LeMahieu have hit him well in the past in particular and Stanton has started the season redhot. 

Royals(-) V Indians(-) 1:10 EST

Ronald Bolaños$6,400$5,5005.951.47.362.309
Carlos Carrasco$8,600$9,1005.291.13.347.364

Ronald Bolaños only made a few starts last season and failed to impress. We have been high on the Indians offense every day so far and they have failed to perform to our expectations. This is another below average righty that they should be able to take advantage of and they have to go off eventually, right? Santana and Lindor are top options again. 

Carlos Carasco makes his triumphant return from a scary bout of leukemia. He was able to pitch in relief at the end of last season and still looked like himself after the weight loss and stress. He is certainly capable of paying off his salary against the Royals and people should be weary about him after so much time away from a starting role. His talent and the matchup gives us a green light here.  

Tigers(+197) V Reds(-235) 1:10 EST

Spencer Turnbull$7,100$6,6004.611.44.347.308
Trevor Bauer$10,100$9,7004.481.25.344.292

Spencer Turnbull is a fine pitcher in real life but isn’t a target for fantasy. He handles righties a lot better than lefties and Votto has started off the season well. This is not a matchup worthy of much attention for fantasy in either direction but hitters definitely have the advantage. 

Trevor Bauer kinda sucked last year and wants to get paid this offseason if baseball or the world are even still around by then. His numbers against lefties are not great but, hey…it’s the Tigers. He would be worth a look for that fact alone if his price wasn’t so high. We hate paying $10k for a pitcher who isn’t an ace and Bauer has a lot to prove before being in that category. 

Blue Jays(+195) V Rays(-230) 1:10 EST

Thomas Hatch$4,000$5,5004.121.24
Blake Snell$10,700$10,2004.291.27.374.286

“Who is Thomas Hatch” you wonder as you look at this slate. An irrelevant experiment for the Jays organization who is also going to be on a strict pitch count is our response, so don’t worry. The Rays are not really a team that any reasonable person should ever look to stack for fantasy but sometimes you need a lil crazy to bring home the bacon. Brandon Lowe and Ji Man Choi would be the first guys to look at.

Blake Snell came crashing down to earth last season as he was magnificent in 2018. His true talent likely lies somewhere in the middle. He has reverse splits and lefties actually hit him better than righties. The Jays have some swing and miss in their lineup but Snell’s price here will likely make us look elsewhere for pitching. In the same token, the Jays are not a team to target against him but if you do, keep in mind his splits for lefties. 

Orioles(+170) V Red Sox(-200) 1:35 EST

Wade LeBlanc$6,000$5,6005.711.45.369.356
Ryan Weber$6,400$6,1005.091.38.402.262

Is Alex Cobb a Cy Young contender? In all seriousness, yesterday was a fluke or at least an example of a different Red Sox lineup than years past that will have some growing pains. Any of that can be solved by a god awful lefty however and JD Martinez is again a lock play for us all. Lefties and righties are at play here and we could very well see another 10+ run performance. 

Ryan Weber is a very solid pitcher but is not quite capable of being a starter in the AL East. Luckily for him, he draws the Orioles as his first assignment and even Dr. Fauci could silence their bats. They did show some life yesterday but Weber is crafty. He may not run up a full pitch count here but he is not somebody we want to go out of our way to target. Chris Davis is desperate to pretend to be a big leaguer, maybe he accidentally connects here? 

Twins(-135) V White Sox(+115) 2:10 EST

Kenta Maeda$9,000$7,4004.041.07.319.229
Reynaldo Lopez$8,100$7,1005.381.46.364.334

Kenta Maeda was a solid pitcher with the Dodgers and did especially well to limit right handed batters. He has issues with lefties and the White Sox have a few scary ones. He is not a great option today but he is also not somebody to pick on  necessarily. Eloy Jimenez, Yoan Moncada, and Leury Garcia are options.

Reynaldo Lopez is a loose cannon with as much control as a puppy on an ice rink. The Twinkies should have a bunch of baserunners in this game, and likely a bunch of swings and misses too, so this is a solid offense to look at. Look for Nelson Cruz and Mitch Garver to do well.

Mariners(+265) V Astros(-330) 2:10 EST

Yusei Kikuchi$5,400$6,0005.461.52.340.374
Zack Greinke$10,900$9,6002.930.98.255.270

Kikuchi was bad last year, really bad. He had a 6.43 ERA against the Astros in particular and that makes sense when you realize he’s a lefty that gives up base runners at an alarming rate. The Astros are a top stack and should feast. Springer and Bregman is where we suggest starting and follow your heart beyond that. 

Zack Greinke is being fed a win on a silver platter here, he just needs to not blow it up in his own face. The Mariners should not be able to do much against him and he has plenty of K potential. His price on FD is extremely attractive and he should be a popular pick. 

Pirates(+145) V Cardinals(-165) 2:15 EST

Mitch Keller$8,000$6,5007.131.83.415.374
Dakota Hudson$9,300$7,7003.351.41.347.285

Mitch Keller sucks. We are liking the Cardinals once again here and they broke out yesterday and flashed some potential. Matt Carpenter is looking for a big breakout after a few flops but Goldschmidt has already looked comfortable at the plate. Until Keller can show he is capable of handling big league hitters, we will pick on him. 

Dakota Hudson had a good showing last year but has struggles with lefties. He is not somebody we are thrilled with for fantasy but the odd one off hitter may make sense. Josh Bell hit him hard last year and is a solid play. We are not picking or stacking against Hudson. 

Brewers(+106) V Cubs(-121) 2:20 EST

Freddy Peralta$8,200$5,9005.291.46.301.354
Tyler Chatwood$4,900$5,7003.761.33.357.261

Freddy Peralta is garbage and is starting because their rotation is garbage, hard pass. The Cubs are a fine team to target today and righties have fared better against Peralta than lefties. Kris Bryant and Javier Baez are spicy options to lead the way but this lineup has sneaky plays throughout. 

Tyler Chatwood is a super sneaky option today. He normally is an okay pitcher but this Brewers lineup has struggled massively against him in the past. He is crazy cheap and has a case for a really low owned SP2 on DK but maybe can’t carry hard enough on FD. Yelich is a fine target against him but he has a chance to lock this one down. 

Rockies(+140) V Rangers(-160) 2:35 EST

Kyle Freeland$4,700$6,3006.731.58.331.383
Corey Kluber$10,300$8,9005.801.65.377.333

Kyle Freeland’s numbers seem terrible, mostly because they are, but also because he has to pitch in Coors Field half the time. Thankfully he doesn’t have to today but he hasn’t done too well on the road in his career either. Freeland gets rocked by righties and while the primary targets from Texas are lefties, Danny Santana and Elvis Andrus could take advantage of Freeland’s struggles at the top of the order.

Corey Kluber broke his arm last year and that was probably the best the Indians could have hoped for with how bad he was before then. We all know how great he used to be but he seems over the hill at this point. His price is based on the ghost of Kluber past and we aren’t paying for that. The Rockies still look anemic at the plate but Blackmon and Dahl look like good values. 

Angels(-125) V Athletics(+105) 4:10 EST

Shohei Ohtani$7,800$8,0003.311.16.253.295
Mike Fiers$10,100$7,1003.901.19.292.314

Shohei Ohtani is one of the more exciting stories this year as we see his return to the mound after Tommy John surgery. We know he has filthy stuff and great velocity but we also know the Angels want to keep him healthy at all costs. This is a solid matchup for him with great upside, but there is the underlying risk of getting pulled earlier than we want. 

Mike Fiers is not exciting in any way whatsoever. He limits damage and can keep an offense in check but the strikeout upside just isn’t there. Trout has some good numbers against him historically, but we could say that about almost any pitcher in the league…

Diamondbacks(Even) V Padres(-120) 4:10 EST

Zac Gallen$11,400$8,3002.811.23.287.288
Garret Richards$7,800$6,4008.311.85.304.650

Zac Gallen is a solid arm and the Padres are limping into the season so far. He handles batters from both sides well and Hosmer getting hurt makes this lineup even better to target against. He’s worth a flier for DFS and we don’t want to target hitters against him. 

Garret Richards’ stats are here more because they were funny, less because they are helpful. He has had more arm injuries than Hugh Hefner had wives and he has frustrated fantasy owners for years. He has top of the line talent and with a price so low, he’s worth throwing him into a few lineups if you have a penchant for risk taking. If he implodes, look for right handed hitters to get to him. 

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