7.29.20 MLB Main Slate

After yesterday’s abomination, we have a much prettier slate here. We are seeing the second outing for a lot of these guys so it’s nice to have a much better idea of how their stuff looked and where they are in regards to stamina. We still have older stats to give you an idea of how they do versus lefties and righties and we will be sure to reference how they have looked recently if there is a substantial difference. Good luck today and game on! 

DraftKings uses this scoring:

Hitters
Single+3 Pts
Double+5 Pts
Triple+8 Pts
Home Run+10 Pts
Run Batted In+2 Pts
Run+2 Pts
Base on Balls+2 Pts
Hit By Pitch+2 Pts
Stolen Base+5 Pts
Pitchers
Inning Pitched+2.25 Pts
Strikeout+2 Pts
Win+4 Pts
Earned Run Allowed-2 Pts
Hit Against-0.6 Pts
Base on Balls Against-0.6 Pts
Hit Batsman-0.6 Pts
Complete Game+2.5 Pts
Complete Game Shutout+2.5 Pts
No Hitter+5 Pts

Fanduel uses the following:

Hitters
Single+3 Pts
Double+6 Pts
Triple+9 Pts
Home Run+12 Pts
Run Batted In+3.5 Pts
Run+3.2 Pts
Base on Balls+3 Pts
Hit By Pitch+3 Pts
Stolen Base+6 Pts
Pitchers
Inning Pitched+3 Pts
Strikeout+3 Pts
Win+6 Pts
Earned Run Allowed-3 Pts
Quality Start4 Pts

Brewers(-49) V Pirates(+134) 7:05 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Brandon Woodruff$8,100$8,7003.621.14.326.240
Joe Musgrove$5,300$6,7004.441.22.334.309

Brandon Woodruff looked good in the opener and his velocity was up. The Pirates offense is nothing special and he will try to record more than the 5 strikeouts he tallied in his last appearance. If you do get hitters here, stick to lefties like Colin Moran or Josh Bell. 

Joe Musgrove had a great opening start in fantasy terms with 7 strikeouts. This Brewers offense may be a tough task but he does have upside if you are willing to stomach some risk. Yelich and Sogard have nice splits for this but are not high on our list of guys to target today. 

Royals(+121) V Tigers (-136) 7:10 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Danny Duffy$7,100$6,4004.341.31.339.318
Matthew Boyd$9,000$8,4004.561.23.299.324

Daniel Duffy doesn’t get enough swings and misses to make you care about him and not even a matchup against the Tigers can save him. In fact, we’ll go out on a limb and say that playing a few Tigers may not even be that stupid. Cj Cron has his power stroke early and has hit Duffy hard, maybe pair him with Goodrum and his hot start. 

Matthew Boyd is one of the worst starters on this slate and is a green light for stacking. Whit Merrifield is a great option. We also like Salvador Perez, Maikel Franco, and Jorge Soler. Winds should be blowing out to left in this game, balls should fly.

Dodgers() V Astros() 7:10 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Dustin May$7,300$6,1003.631.10.379.210
Cristian Javier$6,600$5,5001.640.82

Dustin May is a very talented starter but this Astros team is far different than the Giants he faced previously. He has great upside everytime he pitches but we will be leaving him on the shelf in a matchup like this. Look for lefties like Brantley to get some good at-bats here. 

Cristin Javier has had great success in AA but he’s not in Kansas anymore.The Dodgers are menacing from the left side of the plate and he likely won’t have a leash beyond a few innings, given his low inning counts to date in pro ball. The Dodgers should see the bullpen for much of this game and will have opportunities to score. 

Rays(+109) V Braves (-125) 7:10 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Charlie Morton$10,800$9,4003.051.08.293.247
Mike Soroka$9,500$8,8002.681.11.321.235

Charlie Morton was dreadful in his debut. The Braves have a scary offense so we aren’t going to chalk up the salary for Morton and pray he rebounds, we’ll wait till we see him establish better command and confidence on the mound. 

Mike Soroka pitched well in his debut but he only registered 3 strikeouts. We need more than that for fantasy purposes and the Rays offense has not been a pushover so far. Once we factor in some rain concerns, Soroka is not all that appealing. 

Mets(-186) V Red Sox(+161) 7:10 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Jacob deGrom$12,000$11,2002.430.97.270.234
Nathan Eovaldi$6,800$7,2005.991.58.391.345

Jacob deGrom is tied with Cole for being the most talented guy going today, but he draws a much tougher matchup on paper. The Sox have actually been playing way under their skill level recently and maybe we’ll see that trend continue with another dominating performance from the Met’s ace. 

Nathan Eovaldi was throwing gas against the Orioles and looked great. The Mets should be a nice source of strikeouts here after only registering 4 in his last appearance. We don’t like Mets bats here.  

Yankees() V Orioles() 7:35 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Gerrit Cole$11,400$11,2002.500.89.249.243
Asher Wojciechowski$5,800$6,8004.921.31.367.314

Gerrit Cole should be the highest owned starter. If we need to explain why, find a different DFS sport. We aren’t touching O’s bats with a 39 and a half foot pole. 

Asher Wojciechowski is capable of striking guys out and is an all around okay arm by Orioles standards. That will likely not be enough against the Yankees and we will likely see a few NY home runs, unless the Orioles staff continues to play well beyond their means. 

Cardinals (+132) V Twins(-150) 8:10 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Daniel Ponce de Leon$7,500$5,8003.701.27.242.318
Rich Hill$7,200$5,8002.451.13.238.309

Ponce de Leon is a reverse split pitcher so righties hit him better and the Twins have plenty of boppers. He has been a really solid pitcher in the minors and isn’t a guy to necessarily target, but this matchup definitely favors the bats. 

Rich Hill is a lefty with a long history of arm problems. His first start was already pushed back to today due to soreness and he had surgery a few months back. Goldschmidt has hit him well in particular and we like righty options here like DeJong. 

Padres(-172) V Giants(+150) 9:45 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Chris Paddack$8,400$9,7003.330.98.280.255
Johnny Cueto$6,000$6,9005.061.25.446.228

Chris Paddack will likely be one of the more popular arms today. He has already looked good this year and he gets one of the ebay matchups on the board. He is only pitching on 4 days rest and we have not seen him do that in his big league career so only time will tell if it will affect him at all. We are assuming he’ll be fine and using him in all formats. 

Johnny Cueto did not look like a trash can in his debut and that’s a good sign for the veteran righty. He is several years removed from his ace form but we may be seeing a resurgence this year if he is fully healthy. The Padres are far scarier from the right slide of the batters box so this matchup is ideal for him to perform well again. We are likely staying away from this matchup and view it as neutral. 

Mariners(+176) V Angels(-205) 9:40 EST

PitcherDK $FD $ERAWHIPL wOBAR wOBA
Justin Dunn$4,500$5,5002.701.65.460.135
Andrew Heaney$7,900$7,1004.911.29.386.307

Justin Dunn is a solid prospect who did not look overpowered in his brief experience in the majors last september. He is likely not going to face a full workload here but he can be effective in limited innings. Lefties bite him and this offense is much scarier from the other side. 

Andrew Heaney was surprisingly effective in his debut, despite being a bit behind his peers due to back issues in the summer. He’s a lefty with reverse splits and there are a few scary lefties in the Mariners lineup but they have mostly looked bad. The hitters have the better upside here but nobody is standing out as a top option. 

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